Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
12 Sep 2021 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (13 Sep 01:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 104 km/h 0.4 m 135 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 166 km/h 0.6 m 1105 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

166 km/h

Up to 80 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan76,581
+
Japan74,867 
Taiwan1,714 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 86 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 08 Sep 2021 12:00 119 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 09 Sep 2021 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 Sep 2021 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Sep 2021 00:00 169 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 11 10 Sep 2021 12:00 158 1 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Paracel Islands
GREEN 12 11 Sep 2021 00:00 176 10 thousand
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam
GREEN 13 11 Sep 2021 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 14 12 Sep 2021 00:00 122 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines
GREEN 15 12 Sep 2021 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Japan, Taiwan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan, China, Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Myanmar, Cambodia, Malaysia3,179,018
+
China74,050 
Japan1,240 
Myanmar101,458 
Vietnam2,164,833 
Laos74,240 
Thailand613,343 
Philippines7,588 
Cambodia119,492 
Malaysia22,769 
50-100 mmChina, Japan, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia46,216,092
+
China431,088 
Japan333,972 
Myanmar967,738 
Taiwan3,431,365 
Vietnam26,388,456 
Laos1,654,461 
Thailand10,663,103 
Philippines512,670 
Cambodia1,473,176 
Malaysia360,058 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 05 Sep 2021 12:00 315 180 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 00:00 309 20 thousand
- - - China, Vietnam, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 304 500 thousand
- - - China, Paracel Islands, Philippines
Blue 4 07 Sep 2021 00:00 286 820 thousand
- - - China, Philippines, Vietnam
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 12:00 344 1.7 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia, Malaysia
Blue 6 08 Sep 2021 00:00 273 13.7 million
- - - China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 7 08 Sep 2021 12:00 332 400 thousand
- - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Philippines, Cambodia, Myanmar
Blue 8 09 Sep 2021 00:00 313 -
- - - - - Thailand, Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Philippines
Blue 9 09 Sep 2021 12:00 283 -
- - - - - Thailand, Paracel Islands, Myanmar, Laos, Philippines
Blue 10 10 Sep 2021 00:00 334 30 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Thailand, Paracel Islands
Blue 11 10 Sep 2021 12:00 335 500 thousand
- - - - Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia
Blue 12 11 Sep 2021 00:00 324 1.8 million
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 13 11 Sep 2021 12:00 336 2.1 million
- - - Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 14 12 Sep 2021 00:00 329 440 thousand
- - - Taiwan, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Laos
Blue 15 12 Sep 2021 12:00 244 3.2 million
- - - - China, Japan, Myanmar, Taiwan, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia, Malaysia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC