Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CONSON-21
in Viet Nam, Philippines
10 Sep 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CONSON-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Exposed population 20 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 205 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (11 Sep 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Vietnam)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 205 km/h 0.6 m 240 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 252 km/h 0.8 m 652 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

252 km/h

Up to 20 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Philippines15,854 
CAT. 1Japan, Philippines5,586
+
Japan2,242 
Philippines3,343 
Tropical StormJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Paracel Islands404,659
+
Japan115,869 
Taiwan27,554 
Philippines68,459 
Vietnam192,744 
Paracel Islands30 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 83 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 166 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 173 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 187 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 202 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 252 -
- - - - - Philippines
GREEN 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 205 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 194 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 212 -
- - - - - Paracel Islands
GREEN 18 10 Sep 2021 06:00 205 20 thousand
- - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Vietnam, Paracel Islands
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmPhilippines, Vietnam, Laos2,792,928
+
Philippines736,710 
Laos8,926 
Vietnam2,047,291 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Myanmar, Thailand, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia8,898,171
+
Japan59,383 
Taiwan454 
Philippines4,268,765 
Thailand76,287 
Laos467,553 
Vietnam3,665,839 
Myanmar322,430 
Cambodia37,458 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan, China, Philippines, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia44,938,740
+
Japan134,210 
Taiwan161,085 
Philippines29,790,519 
China333,385 
Thailand7,506,318 
Laos1,703,530 
Vietnam3,139,155 
Myanmar1,009,684 
Cambodia1,018,100 
Malaysia142,031 
Palau95 
Indonesia623 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Sep 2021 00:00 99 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Sep 2021 06:00 164 -
- - - - - China
Blue 3 06 Sep 2021 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Philippines
Blue 4 06 Sep 2021 18:00 118 90 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 5 07 Sep 2021 00:00 107 10 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 6 07 Sep 2021 06:00 132 60 thousand
- - - - Philippines
Blue 7 07 Sep 2021 12:00 186 130 thousand
- - - - Thailand, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 8 07 Sep 2021 18:00 230 430 thousand
- - - - Laos, Philippines
Blue 9 08 Sep 2021 00:00 216 2.2 million
- - - - Laos, Vietnam, Philippines, Thailand, Cambodia
Blue 10 08 Sep 2021 06:00 227 8.8 million
- - - - Laos, Thailand, Philippines
Blue 11 08 Sep 2021 12:00 215 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Philippines, Cambodia
Blue 12 08 Sep 2021 18:00 241 -
- - - - - Vietnam, Thailand, Laos
Blue 13 09 Sep 2021 00:00 218 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 14 09 Sep 2021 06:00 202 -
- - - - - Thailand, Myanmar
Blue 15 09 Sep 2021 12:00 167 -
- - - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 16 09 Sep 2021 18:00 190 80 thousand
- - - - Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 17 10 Sep 2021 00:00 206 40 thousand
- - - - Paracel Islands, Myanmar, Philippines
Blue 18 10 Sep 2021 06:00 782 11.7 million
- - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, China, Thailand, Laos, Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Malaysia, Palau, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.6 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC