Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (06 Nov 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.4 m 118 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia1,500,550 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

513 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Maldives6,086,050
+
India5,314,850 
Sri Lanka759,110 
Maldives12,090 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 417 -
- - - - - India, Sri Lanka, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Shil, India. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Shil India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Mangrol India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Chorwad India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Gorser India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Ratia India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Veraval India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Somnath India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Mahuva India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Adodar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 10:30 Sutrapada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Rohisa India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Lodhwa India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Porbandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Delvada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Kodinar India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Tuna India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Jodiya India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Suthri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Navinal India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Damka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Dwarka India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Bada Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Ghogha India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Harinagar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Madhi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Maroli India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Bhogat India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Daman India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Udvada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Umbargam India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Bordi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Wadgam India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Kambhat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Kavi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Sarod India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Gholvad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Malyan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Mahim India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Agashi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Vasai India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:00 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Dongri India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 12:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 12:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Tarapur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:45 Malad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Palghar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Boisar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Mumbai India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Asumumbay India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Filim Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Honavar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Manki India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Mavalli India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Shirali India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhatkal India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Alibag India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Belekeri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Ankola India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Gokarn India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 03:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Bainduru India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Chittadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Kundapura India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Murud India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:45 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Revadanda India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 03:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Kumta India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 03:00 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Devipatam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Muttupettai India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Panalkkulam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Irumeni India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Pamban India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Srivardhan India  0.1