Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Pakistan, India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 176 km/h 0.4 m 513 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormPakistan, India62,899
+
Pakistan10,836 
India52,063 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 94 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 12:00 115 -
- - - - - Pakistan
GREEN 31 06 Nov 2019 18:00 65 -
- - - - - Pakistan
GREEN 32 07 Nov 2019 00:00 65 -
- - - - - Pakistan
GREEN 33 07 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

513 mm

Up to 58.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia122,561 
100-250 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Maldives58,067,928
+
India55,238,877 
Sri Lanka2,824,224 
Maldives4,827 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Maldives106,861,015
+
India89,238,921 
Sri Lanka17,543,120 
Maldives78,974 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 233 -
- - - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 149 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 97 -
- - - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 220 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 66 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 134 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 81 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 103 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 120 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 233 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 160 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 117 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 06 Nov 2019 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 07 Nov 2019 00:00 56 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 07 Nov 2019 06:00 99 -
- - - - - India, Sri Lanka




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.4
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Ghalat Oman  0.4
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Sharkh Oman  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:15 Ghogha India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:15 Dahej India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:15 Harinagar India  0.4
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Mahuva India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 As Sirab Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Rohisa India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Tuna India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Jodiya India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:30 Nafun Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Nawabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Gholvad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:00 Maroli India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jambura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Malyan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Boisar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Udvada India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Mahim India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Vasai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Suthri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Dangarvadi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Dongri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Mundra India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Kotra Nes India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Gokarn India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Kumta India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:30 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Shil India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Mangrol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Chorwad India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:15 Manki India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Sika India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Somnath India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Aramda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Malad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Bhadia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Kodinar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:30 Karwar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Chittadi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Navinal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Miyani India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Kundapura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Dwarka India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Anjuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Madhi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:15 Revadanda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Kelshi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Majali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Udipi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:45 Murud India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Madgaon India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Maghilah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Mursays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Hiql Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:30 Anjanwel India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:45 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:45 Boria India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:00 Bada Pakistan  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Turavur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Adiura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Periathullay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tiruchendur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Trikkaripur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayipara India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Kannapuram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Chirakkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Valapattanam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Azhikkal India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Purnagad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Miji Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Pural India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Malvan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Mulki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Mattancheri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Edakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahe India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Badagara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Payyoli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Malan Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Haripad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Karunagapalli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Kumbla India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Bekal India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Cannanore India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mawalis Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Azaiba Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Dayl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Al Qasabiyat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Al Khaburah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:00 Khalil Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Nileshwar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Filim Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:30 Sirik Iran  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Chervattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:45 Alleppey India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Point Pedro Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Quilon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Quilandi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Had Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:15 Pappinivatti India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Manumah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Varkkallai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Anjengo India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hisn Diba United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Pusht Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Tanur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 08:00 Anaippapan Sri Lanka  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Tondi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Kottaippattanam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Ammapatam India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 14:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
09 Nov 2019 14:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Taingapatam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kolachel India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Manattala India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chavakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Guruvayur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chaughat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Talikkulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Thiruvananthapuram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Devipatam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Tirupalakudi India  0.1
08 Nov 2019 14:15 Pentakota India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:00 Puvar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:15 Brar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 10:00 Vembar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Chundikkulam Sri Lanka  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Chalai Sri Lanka  0.1