Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mozambique, Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.1 m (09 Mar 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 65 km/h 0.1 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 4.1 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

212 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMozambique, Madagascar968
+
Mozambique72 
Madagascar896 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 227 -
- - - - - Mozambique, Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Namuali, Mozambique. This height is estimated for 09 Mar 2019 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Napito Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:15 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:15 Metula Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Larde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Angoche Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Namacoto Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:30 Jo Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Ambazoa Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Ankazomanitsy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Beaniky Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Esanta Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Iambaro Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Ambazoamazava Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:30 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:00 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:15 Momade Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:15 Metopa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:15 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:15 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Barra Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 11:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Inhassoro Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Afonso Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Catine Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Caulino Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Mariano Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Asneira Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:45 Talaky Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:15 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:00 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:15 Tama Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 10:15 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:45 Amado Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Ali Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Terrene Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 08:45 Calajulo Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 09:15 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1

Calculation folder at this link