Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Mar 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 198 km/h 0.7 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 4.1 m n.a. 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar11075 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 65 -
- - - - - Mozambique
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 104 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 104 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 148 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 187 -
- - - - - Madagascar
GREEN 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 241 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 10 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 11 Mar 2019 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 11 Mar 2019 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Tambohorano, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Mar 2019 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Colchester South Africa  0.4
11 Mar 2019 06:15 Onara Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Ali Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Injaca Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Terrene Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Calajulo Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Richmond South Africa  0.3
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Memba Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Muanua Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Ecota Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Formone Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Capelelene Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Nangata Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Chepa Mozambique  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Manahy Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Manometimay Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Kasouga South Africa  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Kilifi Kenya  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Takaungu Kenya  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Manomba Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Namacoto Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Namuali Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Barroa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Nampuita Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Miaola Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Mocambique Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Cabaceira Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Matibane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Lumbo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Momade Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Metopa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Quinga Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Metula Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Nantapa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Mite Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Port Alfred South Africa  0.2
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Metuge Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Mussange Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Acache Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Messequero Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Atolo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Murrebue Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Luguni Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Tari Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Quissanga Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Foque Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Ibo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Fomboni Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Bandani Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Iconi Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mauala Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Arire Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Uzi Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Dikoni Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Chwaka Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Kitogani Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Kijini Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Pingwe Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Paje Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Hiari Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Maaia Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Nacala Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Matiquite Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Minhauine Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Macalopa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Mucojo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Ingoane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:15 Pangane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Morombe Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Natiquinde Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:45 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Vanamboini Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Domoni Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Combani Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Chezani Comoros  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:45 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Namelala Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Beula Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Mabsil Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Marivate Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Miramar Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Baly Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Lindi Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Mbanja Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Likonga Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kitunda Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kiuleula Tanzania  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Miquindane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Lurio Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Ombauine Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Ankoba Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 06:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Pangome Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Arimba Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Soalala Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:00 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Accua Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Moliha Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Dzoumogne Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Longoni Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mwambo Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Msimbati Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Quionga Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:45 Rupia Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Alimperia Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:30 Messonta Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:30 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Miringoni Comoros  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Ouallah Comoros  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Kawi Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Konduchi Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Bingue Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Malindi Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Marikebuni Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Gongoni Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:30 Ngomeni Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Miperani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Konde Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kiuyu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Vila de Mocimboa da Praia Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Libambai Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Meronvi Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Quissengue Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Andavadoaka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Befandeva Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:45 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Guiducua Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:00 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Morumequina Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Bandele Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Dembeni Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Mamoudzou Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Dzaoudzi Mayotte  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:45 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:30 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:30 Mecufi Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:00 Gulioni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:45 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 08:45 Mocareja Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Mchinga Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Andalambezo Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:15 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Larde Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:15 Sadani Tanzania  0.1

Calculation folder at this link