Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (11 Mar 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 176 km/h 1.0 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 4.1 m 0 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar57807 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 252 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 176 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

0 mm

Up to 60 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 10 Mar 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Tambohorano, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2019 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Tambohorano Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ankazobe Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Manampea Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 02:30 Antsafy Madagascar  0.9
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Onara Madagascar  0.7
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.7
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Ambato Madagascar  0.7
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Marovazha Madagascar  0.6
10 Mar 2019 23:00 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.6
10 Mar 2019 23:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.6
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Marofototra Madagascar  0.6
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Voalavo Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 03:45 Colchester South Africa  0.5
11 Mar 2019 13:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 13:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 13:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 14:15 Belailay Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 14:00 Maintirano Madagascar  0.4
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Manampatra Madagascar  0.4
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.4
12 Mar 2019 02:00 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
12 Mar 2019 02:00 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
12 Mar 2019 02:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Richmond South Africa  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Kasouga South Africa  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:45 Baly Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Soalala Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Memba Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Muanua Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Ecota Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Formone Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Capelelene Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Nangata Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Chepa Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kawi Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Konduchi Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kipara Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Msasani Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Magogoni Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Bandarini Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kutani Tanzania  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Metula Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Momade Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Metopa Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Ali Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Injaca Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Calajulo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Lumbo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Mocambique Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 15:00 Nampuita Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Port Alfred South Africa  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Beula Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Mabsil Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Marivate Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:30 Miramar Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:30 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 03:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Metuge Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Mussange Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Acache Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Messequero Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Atolo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Murrebue Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Luguni Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Tari Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:45 Andanivato Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Tama Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
13 Mar 2019 18:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 17:45 Barra Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:00 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:00 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:00 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Paje Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Hiari Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:15 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Quissanga Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Pangome Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Arimba Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ambararata Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankevo Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:00 Terrene Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Napito Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:45 Watamu Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:45 Malindi Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:45 Marikebuni Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:45 Gongoni Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:15 Ocone Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chumbuni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Taandani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Uchangani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Temi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chake Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Ziwani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Jojo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kitwea Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Hurumuzi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 06:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:00 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:00 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Ngomeni Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Foque Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:45 Ibo Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Ankoba Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:00 Mite Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Jo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:15 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Manahy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kilifi Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Takaungu Kenya  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:15 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Ndumbwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kiswa Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mikindani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Naumba Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mtwara Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Msangamkuu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Vanamboini Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Domoni Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Combani Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Chezani Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 01:15 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 01:15 Larde Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:45 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:45 Donge Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kichenge Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Sitarehe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kengeja Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:15 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Lindi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Mbanja Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Likonga Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kitunda Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kiuleula Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Palma Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Quionga Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Boala Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Maganja Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:30 Quiwia Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:15 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:45 Fish River Camping Site South Africa  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:45 Mpekweni South Africa  0.1
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Mwera Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mvuni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kiriwani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Tanga Tanzania  0.1

Calculation folder at this link