Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 252 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Mar 01:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 252 km/h 0.7 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 4.1 m 0 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar17935 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 252 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

0 mm

Up to 20 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Tambohorano, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2019 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Tambohorano Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Ankazobe Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Manampea Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Manomba Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 07:15 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 07:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Onara Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Marofototra Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Voalavo Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 04:00 Colchester South Africa  0.4
11 Mar 2019 06:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 00:15 Manampatra Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 00:15 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 15:15 Andemba Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 15:15 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 15:15 Reharaka Madagascar  0.3
09 Mar 2019 14:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 14:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:15 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:30 Divinhe Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:30 Chiloane Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 03:45 Richmond South Africa  0.2
09 Mar 2019 13:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 13:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 17:45 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:45 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.2
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:30 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 21:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
09 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Baly Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Soalala Madagascar  0.2
09 Mar 2019 18:45 Damiao Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:45 Caliua Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:45 Raraga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:45 Metapa Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Tama Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 03:15 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:45 Mulia Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 21:45 Barra Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:30 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:30 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:30 Muaco Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:45 Quinga Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:45 Metula Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:45 Momade Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 12:45 Metopa Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Andanivato Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Amado Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Mahabo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Andramy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Marotaola Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:15 Napito Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:15 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:45 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:45 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:45 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Memba Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Muanua Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Ecota Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Formone Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Capelelene Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Nangata Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Chepa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 10:00 Kasouga South Africa  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Mutiba Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:30 Watamu Kenya  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:30 Malindi Kenya  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:30 Marikebuni Kenya  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:30 Gongoni Kenya  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Andramasay Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 22:15 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 22:15 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 22:15 Jo Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 22:15 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mkadini Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.1
11 Mar 2019 21:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 13:30 Highfield South Africa  0.1
09 Mar 2019 13:30 Mtunzini South Africa  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:30 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:30 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:30 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:15 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:15 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 14:15 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 07:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 07:00 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 07:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:45 Morondava Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 10:45 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 02:15 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 02:15 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 11:15 Port Alfred South Africa  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:15 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 02:15 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 02:15 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Ambararata Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Ankevo Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Manometimay Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 07:30 Konduchi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:00 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 16:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 02:30 Chululu Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 02:30 Caramaca Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 02:15 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 13:30 Dokodweni South Africa  0.1
11 Mar 2019 12:30 Nampuita Mozambique  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Kawi Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Kipara Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Msasani Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Magogoni Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Bandarini Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:30 Kutani Tanzania  0.1
12 Mar 2019 09:30 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
09 Mar 2019 20:45 Siane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:15 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1

Calculation folder at this link