Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for IDAI-19
in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands

Impact

Tropical Cyclone IDAI-19 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.0 m (11 Mar 03:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Mozambique)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 1.0 m 0 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 212 km/h 4.1 m 0 mm 2.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

252 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMadagascar11887 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 252 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 245 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 09 Mar 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 09 Mar 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 09 Mar 2019 18:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 10 Mar 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 10 Mar 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 10 Mar 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Tambohorano, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 11 Mar 2019 03:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Mar 2019 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Tambohorano Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ambatomilahy Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ankirijibe Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Ankazobe Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Manampea Madagascar  1.0
11 Mar 2019 01:00 Antsafy Madagascar  0.9
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Onara Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ankoakala Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ambato Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Marovazha Madagascar  0.7
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Belavenoka Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Marofototra Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 00:45 Voalavo Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 12:45 Manomba Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 12:45 Ankatrafay Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 12:45 Antandrokomby Madagascar  0.6
11 Mar 2019 13:00 Belailay Madagascar  0.5
11 Mar 2019 04:00 Colchester South Africa  0.5
11 Mar 2019 12:45 Maintirano Madagascar  0.5
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Manampatra Madagascar  0.4
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 18:45 Andemba Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 18:45 Ampanihy Madagascar  0.4
11 Mar 2019 18:45 Reharaka Madagascar  0.4
10 Mar 2019 23:00 Bevatry Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 23:00 Kamendriky Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 23:15 Tsilambana Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:45 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:45 Ambalabao Madagascar  0.3
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Richmond South Africa  0.3
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Andranovoribe Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Memba Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Muanua Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Ecota Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Formone Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Capelelene Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Nhiendgi Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Nangata Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Chepa Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Boesmansriviermond South Africa  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Baly Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Soalala Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kawi Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Konduchi Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kipara Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Dar es Salaam Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Msasani Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Magogoni Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mjimwema Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mboamaji Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Bandarini Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kutani Tanzania  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Ambozaka Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Andramasay Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Antanambao Samaka Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Ali Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Injaca Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Calajulo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Lumbo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Mosengeri Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:45 Mocambique Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 09:30 Kasouga South Africa  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Caliua Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Raraga Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Metapa Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Antohgo Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Soahazo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Muaco Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Quinga Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Metula Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Andanivato Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Mahabo Madagascar  0.2
13 Mar 2019 11:30 Maconharumo Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Andramy Madagascar  0.2
11 Mar 2019 00:30 Marotaola Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Metuge Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Mussange Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Acache Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Porto Amelia Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Messequero Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Atolo Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Murrebue Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Luguni Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Tari Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:15 Belo-sur-Mer Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 02:30 Soahanina Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:00 Andopitaly Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Appontement Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 09:45 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:30 Ocone Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:30 Quelimane do Sal Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 02:45 Nova Sofala Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:15 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:15 Kivalo Est Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Mkadini Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Kigongoni Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 22:15 Bagamoyo Tanzania  0.2
10 Mar 2019 14:30 Nampuita Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 18:15 Port Alfred South Africa  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Machesse Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:15 Ambararata Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:15 Ankevo Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankiliabo Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Manometimay Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Antsamaka Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:15 Tomodo Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Morondava Madagascar  0.2
12 Mar 2019 16:15 Rupia Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Antserananbondro Madagascar  0.2
10 Mar 2019 14:15 Momade Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 14:15 Metopa Mozambique  0.2
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Bingue Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Mutiba Mozambique  0.2
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Mulia Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 11:15 Chimuaza Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 11:15 Vila do Chinde Mozambique  0.2
13 Mar 2019 11:15 Nhamatamanga Mozambique  0.2
11 Mar 2019 03:30 Damiao Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:45 Marofihitsa Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Barra Mozambique  0.1
13 Mar 2019 11:00 Amado Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Maguemba Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Macashale Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:00 Macanzele Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Barroa Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:15 Nhangau Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:15 Chofandicho Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 03:15 Panaca Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Beula Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Morrumbene Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Mabsil Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Marivate Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 23:45 Miramar Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 16:45 Tama Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 16:45 Jonja Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Manahy Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankelifolo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:30 Terrene Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 02:45 Divinhe Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 02:45 Chiloane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Tsiboka Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Ankirijibe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:30 Quiterajo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:30 Ingoane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:30 Pangane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:15 Macalopa Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:15 Bambe Mozambique  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Antseranandaka Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Mite Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Namuali Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Nantapa Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Magromane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Andamoty Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Madirobe Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Ampapamena Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Napito Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Namorre Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Morombe Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:30 Fish River Camping Site South Africa  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Ambohibe Madagascar  0.1
12 Mar 2019 15:30 Andranopasy Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:00 Coluvelane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:30 Ankoba Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Buuni Village Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Morrua Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Watamu Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Malindi Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Marikebuni Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Gongoni Kenya  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Sakura Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Kovkovu Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Handeru Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Ushongo Mabaoni Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Pangani Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 11:15 Vumbi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Inhangulue Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:00 Mendozo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kilifi Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Takaungu Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kilindoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Mkarangama Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kipingwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kirongwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Jimbo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Uzi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mapopwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mdudu Mdogo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Dikoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Chwaka Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kitogani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Kijini Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Ukongoroni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Pingwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Paje Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Hiari Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Anadramy Nord Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Bekoropoka Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Ndumbwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kiswa Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mikindani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Naumba Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mtwara Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Msangamkuu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:30 Murrumuana Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:30 Moebase Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Laisse Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Dinguiduane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Jo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Bartolomeu Dias Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Ngomeni Kenya  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Zanzibar Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Kiembi Samaki Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Bet-el-Mali Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mchamba Wima Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Sadani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Vanamboini Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Domoni Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Mitsamiouli Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Combani Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Ifoundihe Comoros  0.1
10 Mar 2019 18:30 Chezani Comoros  0.1
12 Mar 2019 18:30 Mpekweni South Africa  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mipande Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Quissanga Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Foque Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Ibo Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:15 Mutadua Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Bajone Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:00 Pebane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 12:15 Mangolovolo Madagascar  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:30 Carramali Mozambique  0.1
11 Mar 2019 16:30 Kolekole Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 16:30 Kilale Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Fumba Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kibele Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chumbuni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Taandani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chekea Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Uchangani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Temi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Chake Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Ziwani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kijichame Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Jojo Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Kitwea Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Dutani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Hurumuzi Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Vumba Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Magawa Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Msindaji Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:00 Kisiju Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:45 Miquindane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:45 Lurio Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 13:45 Ombauine Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:45 Mauala Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Mbweni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 22:00 Doriya Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:45 Pombwe Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:45 Jaja Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:45 Mbwera Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 16:45 Kiechuru Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:30 Mkwaja Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 12:45 Coropoa Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 12:45 Larde Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 14:15 Siane Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Bumbwini Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Donge Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Namelala Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Maaia Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Matiquite Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Minhauine Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:45 Mkokotoni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:45 Bwereu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:45 Banda Kuu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Pangome Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Arimba Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 17:45 Tavari Mozambique  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Mkuuni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:00 Gazija Tanzania  0.1
11 Mar 2019 16:45 Kilwa Kivinje Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 20:15 Kiombani Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 21:30 Mkunguni Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 19:00 Mchungu Tanzania  0.1
10 Mar 2019 15:30 Namacoto Mozambique  0.1

Calculation folder at this link