Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

27 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	151 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (27 Oct 12:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	151 km/h	0.4 m	224 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

923 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Ethiopia	278
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives	37,615	+
	India	30,743
	Somalia	699
	Ethiopia	3,278
	Maldives	2,895

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	845	Few people			-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Damka, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 12:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Damka	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Surat	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Jalalpur	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Mahuver	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Mahuva	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Kodinar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Delvada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Veraval	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Somnath	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 17:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 17:45	Kambhat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 17:45	Kavi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Chorwad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Kotada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Mangrol	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:00	Dahej	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:00	Harinagar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:00	Hansot	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Ghogha	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Shil	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:30	Bhagva	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Daman	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Udvada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:15	Ratia	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:15	Gorser	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Asarsa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Muler	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Tankari	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:15	Porbandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Bordi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Tarapur	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 16:00	Suthri	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Dwarka	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Gadechi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Madhi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Gholvad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Malyan	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Okha	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Aramda	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Lamba	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Miyani	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:15	Bhogat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Boisar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Mandvi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Palghar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Mahim	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Agashi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Dongri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Vasai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:00	Sika	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Malad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Tuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Uran	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Trombay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Diva	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Taloje	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Murud	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Revadanda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Boria	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:00	Purnagad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Belekeri	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Ankola	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Gokarn	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Purangad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Kumta	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Manki	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Karwar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Devgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Achra	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Adiura	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Majali	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Beypore	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Terekhol	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Chopdem	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Anjuna	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:45	Vengurla	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 16:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Marmagao	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Panaji	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Agacaim	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Madgaon	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 14:00	Pural	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Advota	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Chaudi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:15	Kozhikode	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.