Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Jul 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.4 m 324 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 173 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 718 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 09:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 09:15 El Tornillal Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 07:45 La Choya Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 09:30 San Felipe Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:15 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Molino Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Nautla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 11:45 La Lima Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 11:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 11:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Mission United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Punta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Faria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Isla Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Goleta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Point Comfort United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Indianola United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Olivia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Weedhaven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Port Alto United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Carancahua United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Palacios United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Simpsonville United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Novillero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Oxnard United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:45 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Naples United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Coromar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Capitan United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:45 El Laurel Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 San Pedro United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Wilmington United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Signal Hill United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Belmont Shore United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Surfside United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Seal Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:00 Huntington Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Lento United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 11:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:15 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:00 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Newport Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Bay Shores United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 Sacate United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Mims United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Hoskins United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Port Morris United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 07:30 Sea Isle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 09:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:30 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 10:15 San Augustine United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 08:15 Quinones Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link