Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	115 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (10 Aug 15:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	115 km/h	0.5 m	149 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

151 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Mexico	612

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	77,060
50-100 mm	Mexico	9,809,839

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	426	80 thousand			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 10 Aug 2020 15:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Aug 2020 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	10 Aug 2020 15:45	Molino	Mexico	0.5
	10 Aug 2020 15:45	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.5
	12 Aug 2020 10:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.5
	10 Aug 2020 15:45	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 16:00	Tecomate	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 16:00	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.4
	10 Aug 2020 15:45	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.4
	13 Aug 2020 02:00	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.4
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Guasimas	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 12:30	Cachoana	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Empalme	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Burros	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Mulege	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:30	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Ligui	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Tripui	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	San Cosme	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 11:45	San Rafael	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:30	El Castillo	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 00:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.3
	12 Aug 2020 16:00	Desembarcadero de Miller	Mexico	0.3
	13 Aug 2020 11:45	El Barril	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 00:15	La Boca	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:30	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Altata	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 00:15	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	San Francisco	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	Monteon	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	La Lima	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	La Ribera	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Austwell	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:00	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 15:45	Cedros	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:30	La Redonda	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 16:00	Isla Natividad	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Perihuete	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Dimas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Puerto Escondido	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Chagues	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 12:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Bajos de Chila	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	La Tuza	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Marmol	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Florida	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Marquelia	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 09:45	Pie Cerro	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Mauricio Gutierrez	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:15	La Palmita	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	El Marques	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Copala	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Acapulco	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	San Blas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	El Papayo	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Mazatlan	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Nuxco	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 04:30	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 23:00	Barron	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Coyuquillas	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:15	Punta Mita	Mexico	0.2
	13 Aug 2020 11:15	Cruz de Juanacaxtle	Mexico	0.2
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Calvario	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Puerto Vallarta	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:15	Las Tinajas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 22:45	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 22:45	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 16:45	Santa Catarina	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	North Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Doyle	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Portland	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Gregory	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:45	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 06:15	Aguaje	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:15	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:30	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:30	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:15	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 22:45	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Estes	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:30	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:30	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Rockport	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	Bucerias	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 10:45	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 04:15	Santo Domingo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Santiago	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Manzanillo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	San Telmo	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Adolfo Lopez Mateos	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 05:00	Queretaro	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Chupadero	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Apisa	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	Cayaca	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	El Ciruelo	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:00	Cuyutlan	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:15	El Real	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 01:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 01:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 01:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Holiday Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Lamar	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 01:30	El Martillo	United States	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 01:30	Yarborough	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Fulton	United States	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:45	Todos Santos	Mexico	0.1
	13 Aug 2020 11:30	El Pescadero	Mexico	0.1
	12 Aug 2020 23:30	Quinones	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.