Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

14 May 2021 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	China, India, Nepal
Exposed population	1 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	0 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.3 m (18 May 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	0 km/h	0.3 m	0 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	223 km/h	2.5 m	1057 mm	2.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

223 km/h

Up to 48.2 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	1,035,505
Tropical Storm	China, India, Nepal	48,218,189	+
	China	3,729
	India	48,211,425
	Nepal	3,034

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 May 2021 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	146,514
100-250 mm	India, Nepal	54,803,599	+
	India	54,438,053
	Nepal	365,546
50-100 mm	India, China, Nepal	60,140,197	+
	India	59,033,259
	China	88
	Nepal	1,106,849

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	14 May 2021 12:00	372	10 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	0	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 18 May 2021 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 May 2021 07:45	Kambhat	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 07:45	Kavi	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 07:45	Sarod	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 01:15	Wadgam	India	2.3
	18 May 2021 01:00	Tankari	India	2.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Asarsa	India	2.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Harinagar	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dahej	India	1.9
	18 May 2021 00:00	Muler	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Ghogha	India	1.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Hansot	India	1.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Bhagva	India	1.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Damka	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Olpad	India	1.3
	18 May 2021 03:15	Surat	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 03:15	Jalalpur	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 03:15	Mahuver	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Kotada	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 01:00	Mahuva	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	1.1
	18 May 2021 03:00	Nausari	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 03:00	Navsari	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 00:00	Jafarabad	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 02:45	Dharasana	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 02:45	Valsad	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 02:15	Bilimora	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 02:00	Udvada	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 01:45	Daman	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Rohisa	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 01:45	Maroli	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dharabandar	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 01:15	Umbargam	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 01:30	Bordi	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 02:00	Gholvad	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 02:00	Malyan	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:00	Delvada	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:00	Nawabandar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Sakhare	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:30	Tarapur	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Nalasopara	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Agashi	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Dongri	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Vasai	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 02:45	Navghar	India	0.6
	18 May 2021 00:45	Boisar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:00	Shirgaon	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:00	Palghar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 07:00	Mahim	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:45	Malad	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:45	Trombay	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Mumbai	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:30	Asumumbay	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 02:45	Mandve	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:45	Uran	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 03:00	Taloje	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Diva	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 00:00	Kodinar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:45	Alibag	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 02:45	Revadanda	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:15	Murud	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:15	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:15	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	21 May 2021 00:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	21 May 2021 00:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:15	Tuna	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 13:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 13:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 13:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.3
	20 May 2021 13:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	21 May 2021 00:00	Akri	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	21 May 2021 00:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	21 May 2021 00:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 18:00	Jodiya	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 23:15	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 02:45	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:45	Jambura	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 00:00	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 04:45	Veraval	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 04:45	Somnath	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 22:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:45	Mundra	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 15:45	Aramda	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 17:30	Sika	India	0.3
	20 May 2021 21:45	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Chudeswar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:45	Salaya	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 09:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 09:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:30	Navinal	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 04:15	Chorwad	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 16:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 17:15	Okha	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:15	Ratia	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:15	Gorser	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:15	Shil	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 02:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:30	Mangrol	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 03:30	Boria	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 21:30	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:30	Adodar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 08:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:30	Porbandar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 03:15	Mirya	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 03:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Karwar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Ankola	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 10:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 21:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 15:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 21:15	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 03:45	Vengurla	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 03:45	Terekhol	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 11:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 00:15	Udipi	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 15:30	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:30	Miyani	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 06:30	Lamba	India	0.2
	20 May 2021 13:45	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 13:45	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 00:30	Bainduru	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:45	Chopdem	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:45	Anjuna	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:45	Manki	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:45	Mavalli	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 13:45	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Kumta	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 04:15	Mulki	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Naka Kharari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Gadani	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 16:00	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 16:00	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Madhi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 09:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 07:45	Purnagad	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Bhogat	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:00	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:00	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:45	Purangad	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:45	Adiura	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 21:45	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Goth Lashkari	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Brar	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Goth Haji Muhammad	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Isa	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:30	Achra	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:30	Malvan	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Ras Muari	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:15	Devgarh	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 03:15	Pural	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 20:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:15	Advota	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 11:15	Chaudi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 02:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:30	Keti	Pakistan	0.1
	20 May 2021 14:00	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 10:45	Majali	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 04:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:00	Miski	Pakistan	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:00	Pasni	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 00:15	Had	Oman	0.1
	20 May 2021 15:15	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Tis	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Chah Bahar	Iran	0.1
	19 May 2021 14:45	Ahmadizeh	Iran	0.1

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While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
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