Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

15 May 2021 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Pakistan, India
Exposed population	3.5 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	2.3 m (17 May 19:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	130 km/h	2.3 m	159 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 3.5 million in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	3,531,048
Tropical Storm	Pakistan, India	30,287,585	+
	Pakistan	771,093
	India	29,516,492

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	169	3.5 million		-	-	-	-	Pakistan, India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,288,295
100-250 mm	India	14,605,810
50-100 mm	Pakistan, Nepal, India	16,337,602	+
	Pakistan	150,686
	Nepal	707
	India	16,186,208

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	401	15.9 million				-	-	-	Pakistan, Nepal, India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

2.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 2.3m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 19:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 May 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 19:45	Wadgam	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Kambhat	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 20:30	Kavi	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 20:30	Sarod	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 20:00	Tankari	India	2.3
	17 May 2021 19:45	Asarsa	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 19:15	Ghogha	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 19:15	Harinagar	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 19:15	Dahej	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 19:15	Muler	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 15:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mahuva	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 19:45	Hansot	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 18:15	Kotada	India	2.0
	17 May 2021 15:30	Jafarabad	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 15:00	Dharabandar	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 15:00	Rohisa	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 14:45	Delvada	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 14:45	Nawabandar	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 18:30	Bhagva	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 18:15	Damka	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 18:45	Olpad	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 14:30	Kotra Nes	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 14:30	Dangarvadi	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 16:30	Surat	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:30	Jalalpur	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:30	Mahuver	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 14:30	Kodinar	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:45	Nausari	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 16:45	Navsari	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 17:00	Veraval	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Somnath	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Sutrapada	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:00	Lodhwa	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Dharasana	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Valsad	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:45	Bilimora	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:30	Udvada	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:30	Daman	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 18:30	Chorwad	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:00	Maroli	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 06:00	Chudeswar	India	1.2
	18 May 2021 06:00	Salaya	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Umbargam	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 16:45	Bordi	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Gholvad	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Malyan	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 18:45	Mangrol	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:30	Sakhare	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 20:45	Shil	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:30	Tarapur	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 14:15	New Kandla	India	1.0
	18 May 2021 14:15	Navlakhi	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 15:00	Boisar	India	0.9
	18 May 2021 13:45	Jodiya	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:30	Gorser	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 14:45	Shirgaon	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 14:45	Palghar	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 14:45	Mahim	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 22:15	Ratia	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 11:00	Agashi	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Dongri	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Vasai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 10:45	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.8
	16 May 2021 06:00	Vengurla	India	0.8
	16 May 2021 06:00	Terekhol	India	0.8
	18 May 2021 12:45	Jambura	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Navghar	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 10:45	Malad	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Mumbai	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Uran	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Trombay	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Diva	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 11:45	Taloje	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:30	Gadechi	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:30	Okha	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 00:30	Aramda	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 03:00	Marmagao	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 03:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 03:00	Panaji	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 03:00	Agacaim	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 03:00	Madgaon	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:30	Chopdem	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 06:30	Anjuna	India	0.7
	18 May 2021 13:45	Tuna	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 10:00	Mandve	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Karwar	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Belekeri	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Ankola	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Gokarn	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 05:45	Malvan	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 09:30	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 09:30	Revadanda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Advota	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Chaudi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Majali	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 02:15	Kumta	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 09:00	Murud	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 11:30	Jhankhar	India	0.5
	18 May 2021 11:30	Sika	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 09:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Bankot	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Kelshi	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Srivardhan	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 15:30	Jaigarh	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 15:30	Mirya	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 15:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 02:15	Honavar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 05:45	Achra	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 23:45	Guhagar	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 23:45	Anjanwel	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:45	Manki	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 07:30	Devgarh	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 00:00	Boria	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 22:15	Adodar	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:30	Mavalli	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:30	Shirali	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 22:30	Bhatkal	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 15:45	Purnagad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 06:00	Pural	India	0.5
	15 May 2021 21:15	Bainduru	India	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:15	Chittadi	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 15:45	Purangad	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 06:45	Adiura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:45	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:45	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 01:45	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 05:15	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	15 May 2021 21:30	Kundapura	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 02:30	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.4
	17 May 2021 22:15	Porbandar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 13:30	Mundra	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 22:30	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.3
	15 May 2021 21:30	Udipi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 13:45	Navinal	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.3
	18 May 2021 14:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	15 May 2021 20:45	Mulki	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 00:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Edakkad	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Mahe	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Badagara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Payyoli	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 00:30	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 14:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Kumbla	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Kasaragod	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Bekal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Cannanore	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Trikkaripur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Madayipara	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Madayi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Kannapuram	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chirakkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Valapattanam	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Azhikkal	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 23:15	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Mangaluru	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:30	Manjeshwaram	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 03:45	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Chervattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 07:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:45	Nileshwar	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 01:00	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.2
	15 May 2021 19:15	Kozhikode	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:30	Atirampattinam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:30	Kattumavadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Beypore	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Melmandai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:15	Vembar	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 23:45	Delft Centre	Sri Lanka	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:00	Manamelkudi	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 03:30	Anaippapan	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Ponnani	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Manattala	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chavakkad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Guruvayur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Chaughat	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Alleppey	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Ambalapulai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:45	Haripad	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:30	Talikkulam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Cochin	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Mattancheri	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 18:30	Akri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:00	Sikkal	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 22:00	Kilakarai	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 01:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:00	Pappinivatti	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Muttupettai	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Panalkkulam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 00:45	Kottapatnam	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 19:15	Turavur	India	0.1
	15 May 2021 21:45	Irumeni	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:45	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 13:45	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.