Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (25 Oct 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.5 m 176 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

205 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia2,866,744 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 435 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Vengurla, India. This height is estimated for 25 Oct 2019 17:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vengurla India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Terekhol India  0.5
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Marmagao India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Agacaim India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Madgaon India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Panaji India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Chopdem India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Anjuna India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Devgarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Achra India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Advota India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Chaudi India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Majali India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Pural India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Vijayadurg India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Malvan India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Karwar India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.4
25 Oct 2019 17:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Belekeri India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Boria India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Ankola India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Gokarn India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Guhagar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Kumta India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Honavar India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Manki India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Anjanwel India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Mavalli India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Shirali India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Bhatkal India  0.3
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Murud India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Bankot India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Kelshi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Bainduru India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Chittadi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Kundapura India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Udipi India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Mumbai India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Asumumbay India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Mandve India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Alibag India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
25 Oct 2019 16:45 Revadanda India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:30 Malad India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Mulki India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 12:45 Mahuva India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 17:15 Dongri India  0.2
25 Oct 2019 15:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Vasai India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 17:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Beypore India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Gholvad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Bordi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Umbargam India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Maroli India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Jafarabad India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 13:15 Damka India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 13:15 Surat India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 13:15 Jalalpur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 13:15 Mahuver India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Quilandi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Khalil Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Khadra' Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Daman India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Udvada India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Tarapur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Malyan India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Boisar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:45 Agashi India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Payyoli India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:15 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 15:15 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Tanur India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Kotada India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Shirgaon India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 16:15 Kumbla India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Qadub Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:45 Duqm Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 18:00 Badagara India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Billa Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Murayjat Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Palghar India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:30 Mahim India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:45 Barka Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:45 Manumah Oman  0.1
25 Oct 2019 12:00 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Ratia India  0.1
25 Oct 2019 14:00 Gorser India  0.1