Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

27 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (27 Oct 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	194 km/h	0.3 m	171 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	Maldives	26,179

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	973	-		-	-	-	-	-	Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Bhagva, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Oct 2019 12:45	Bhagva	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Wadgam	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Kambhat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Kavi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Dahej	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Harinagar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Hansot	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Ghogha	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Kotada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Kodinar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Veraval	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Somnath	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Damka	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Asarsa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Tankari	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Muler	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Ratia	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Gorser	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Shil	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Delvada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuva	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:30	Rohisa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Porbandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Surat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Mahuver	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Daman	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Udvada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Lamba	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 15:45	Miyani	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 16:15	Bhogat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Suthri	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Umbargam	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Bordi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Tuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:15	Dwarka	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Gadechi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Okha	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 16:45	Aramda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:15	Jambura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Sika	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Gholvad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 15:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Navinal	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Murud	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:00	Mandvi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Bhadia	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Tarapur	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Boisar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Uran	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Trombay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Diva	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Taloje	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Palghar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Mahim	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:15	Revadanda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Agashi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Dongri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:30	Vasai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:15	Malad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Mandve	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 12:00	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:45	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:45	Mach	Somalia	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 13:45	Tooxin	Somalia	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Boria	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Mirya	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 14:45	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 17:45	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Terekhol	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Chopdem	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Anjuna	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Marmagao	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Panaji	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Agacaim	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Purangad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Purnagad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Adiura	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:15	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:15	Madgaon	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Pural	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:30	Vengurla	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:15	Advota	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 17:15	Chaudi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 13:00	Achra	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 12:30	Malvan	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.