Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

27 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	180 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (27 Oct 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	180 km/h	0.3 m	199 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	683,847	+
	India	657,668
	Maldives	26,179

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	1099	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Veraval, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Veraval	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Somnath	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Lodhwa	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Kodinar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Shil	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Mangrol	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Chorwad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Ratia	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Gorser	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 19:00	Porbandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 19:00	Adodar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Dangarvadi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Suthri	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Lamba	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Miyani	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Delvada	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 23:45	Bhogat	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Okha	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:45	Mahuva	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 23:45	Dwarka	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 23:45	Madhi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Rohisa	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:30	Murud	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 22:15	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Damka	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Surat	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 22:30	Mahuver	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Palghar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Mahim	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:30	Kotada	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Boisar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:30	Tarapur	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:30	Gholvad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Sika	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Uran	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Trombay	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Diva	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Taloje	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Bordi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Umbargam	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Maroli	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Malad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Revadanda	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Daman	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:15	Udvada	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 20:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Mandve	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 19:15	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Boria	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Dahej	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Harinagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Hansot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 23:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:00	Kundapura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Ghogha	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Bhagva	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Purnagad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Purangad	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:15	Mavalli	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:15	Shirali	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Asarsa	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:15	Manki	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:00	Pural	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Muler	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 18:30	Adiura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Tankari	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 23:00	Mulki	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 22:00	Achra	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.