Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

31 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	112 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	112 km/h	0.4 m	220 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,030

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	34,533
50-100 mm	India	176

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	236	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	282	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 05:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 05:15	Wadgam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 05:15	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 05:15	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 04:45	Asarsa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 04:45	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 04:30	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 04:45	Dahej	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 04:45	Tankari	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 04:45	Muler	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Uran	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Trombay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Diva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Taloje	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 03:45	Hansot	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Damka	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Surat	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Mahuver	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 03:15	Bhagva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 23:45	Kotada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 08:45	Mahuva	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Rohisa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 23:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Daman	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 22:45	Maroli	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Tarapur	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Palghar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mahim	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Boisar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:15	Malyan	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Manki	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Bordi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:30	Gholvad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 21:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:45	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:45	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Malad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Mumbai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Mandve	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Murud	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Madgaon	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Majali	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Chaudi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Shil	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Terekhol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Ratia	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Adodar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Boria	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 19:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:45	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 00:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Malvan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purnagad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Edakkad	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Dharmadam	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Tellicherry	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Mahe	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Badagara	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Payyoli	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 10:45	Mulki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 02:15	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Achra	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Devgarh	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Pural	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Jambura	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Lamba	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Miyani	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:00	Suthri	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 00:00	Tuna	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 13:30	Filim	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Gadechi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Okha	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Aramda	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Madayipara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:30	Mandvi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Mundra	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Chervattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:15	Sika	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:30	Bekal	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:30	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Dwarka	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 19:30	Madhi	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Bhadia	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Kumbla	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Navinal	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 02:45	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 00:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 13:45	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Anteral	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:45	Mach	Somalia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.