Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (28 Oct 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	194 km/h	0.2 m	287 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	17,747

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Maldives	35,039	+
	India	19,578
	Maldives	15,461
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	1,111,856	+
	India	1,101,138
	Maldives	10,718

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	1793	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Suthri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Okha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	Mandvi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:30	Jambura	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Tuna	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Navinal	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Mundra	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Sika	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Uran	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Trombay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Diva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Taloje	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Lamba	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Miyani	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:45	Murud	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:45	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Ratia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:15	Revadanda	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Kodinar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Alibag	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Mumbai	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Mandve	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Srivardhan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Bankot	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Kelshi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:30	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:30	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:30	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:45	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Malad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Wadgam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Kambhat	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Kavi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Bainduru	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Chittadi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Damka	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Surat	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Mahuver	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 21:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:30	Kundapura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:45	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:30	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Nalasopara	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Agashi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Dongri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Vasai	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Palghar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Mahim	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:45	Kotada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Sib	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Boisar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Rohisa	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 23:15	Delvada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Bargaal	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:15	Guhagar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:15	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:15	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:15	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:15	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:30	Boria	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Udipi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Tarapur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Malyan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Mavalli	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Shirali	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Masnaah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Billa	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 22:15	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 20:45	Gholvad	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.