Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

27 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	194 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (27 Oct 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	194 km/h	0.4 m	175 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India	1,251,796

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	745	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Mahuva, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Mahuva	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Dharabandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Rohisa	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Jafarabad	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Wadgam	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Kambhat	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Kavi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Delvada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:45	Nawabandar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 04:45	Dahej	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 04:45	Harinagar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 04:45	Hansot	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 02:30	Kotada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Kotra Nes	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Veraval	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Somnath	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Sutrapada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Lodhwa	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Kodinar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Tarapur	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Gholvad	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Malyan	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Bordi	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Damka	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Umbargam	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:45	Maroli	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Shirgaon	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Palghar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Mahim	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Boisar	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 04:00	Ghogha	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:45	Daman	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 00:45	Udvada	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Asarsa	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Tankari	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Muler	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 04:30	Bhagva	India	0.4
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Surat	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 03:15	Mahuver	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Chorwad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Uran	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Trombay	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Diva	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 01:15	Taloje	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Mangrol	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Nalasopara	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Agashi	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Dongri	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Vasai	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 02:45	Shil	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Malad	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Mumbai	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 02:30	Gorser	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Murud	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 03:00	Ratia	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Srivardhan	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 02:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	27 Oct 2019 02:45	Porbandar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Bankot	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Kelshi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Lamba	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Terekhol	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Marmagao	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Agacaim	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Madgaon	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Chopdem	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Achra	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Malvan	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Anjuna	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Panaji	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Madhi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Devgarh	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Pural	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Mirya	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Advota	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Chaudi	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Majali	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Boria	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Dwarka	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 05:30	Purnagad	India	0.2
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Gadechi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Okha	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 06:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 02:15	Jambura	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:45	Suthri	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 02:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Karwar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 02:00	Mundra	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 01:45	Sika	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 05:00	Filim	Oman	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 01:45	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 00:00	Navinal	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 01:30	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 01:30	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Honavar	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Manki	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	27 Oct 2019 03:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.