Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

31 Oct 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	97 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (02 Nov 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	97 km/h	0.4 m	83 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	36,557

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	94	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	112	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
27	31 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	236	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
26	31 Oct 2019 00:00	220	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India
27	31 Oct 2019 06:00	261	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Wadgam	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Kambhat	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 20:45	Kavi	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:45	Asarsa	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:30	Harinagar	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Dahej	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Tankari	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:15	Muler	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Hansot	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 18:30	Ghogha	India	0.4
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Bhagva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Uran	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Trombay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Diva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 12:30	Taloje	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Surat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Mahuver	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:15	Mahuva	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Kotada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 00:15	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Daman	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Udvada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:00	Dharabandar	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:00	Rohisa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Maroli	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Umbargam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Bordi	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Delvada	India	0.3
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Nawabandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Gholvad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Malyan	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Tarapur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Boisar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Vasai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Mumbai	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Mandve	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Veraval	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Murud	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Alibag	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Kumta	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Honavar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Manki	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 06:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Gokarn	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 00:45	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:30	Ratia	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:30	Gorser	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:45	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 06:45	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 01:15	Shil	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:30	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 03:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:00	Porbandar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 14:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Boria	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:15	Gadechi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:15	Okha	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:15	Aramda	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:45	Jambura	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:30	Lamba	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 05:30	Miyani	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 06:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Devgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:00	Pural	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 02:30	Suthri	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:30	Mandvi	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:30	Bhadia	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Malvan	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 03:45	Navinal	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Achra	India	0.2
	03 Nov 2019 04:15	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 04:15	Sika	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 05:30	Mundra	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 06:00	Madhi	India	0.1
	03 Nov 2019 06:00	Dwarka	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 06:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 22:15	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:45	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 07:30	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:15	Kumbla	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:15	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 10:15	Bekal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Edakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Mahe	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 08:45	Payyoli	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.