Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

30 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (02 Nov 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.3 m	97 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,030

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	166	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	104	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	42,830
50-100 mm	India	2,671

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	28 Oct 2019 12:00	263	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	28 Oct 2019 18:00	287	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	29 Oct 2019 00:00	313	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	29 Oct 2019 06:00	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	29 Oct 2019 12:00	290	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	29 Oct 2019 18:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	30 Oct 2019 00:00	236	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	30 Oct 2019 06:00	233	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
24	30 Oct 2019 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	30 Oct 2019 18:00	239	40 thousand			-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Dahej, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 17:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Dahej	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Harinagar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:45	Hansot	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Asarsa	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Tankari	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:30	Muler	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:15	Ghogha	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 17:00	Bhagva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Damka	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Surat	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Jalalpur	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Mahuver	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Uran	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Trombay	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Diva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Taloje	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Kotada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 15:00	Mahuva	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Daman	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:45	Udvada	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:30	Jafarabad	India	0.3
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Umbargam	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 14:00	Maroli	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:30	Rohisa	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Gholvad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Malyan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 13:45	Boisar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Agashi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Dongri	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Vasai	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Malad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Mumbai	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 15:15	Shuwayr	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Murud	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:00	Mandve	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:15	Alibag	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Bainduru	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Chittadi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Kundapura	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Belekeri	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Ankola	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Gokarn	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:45	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Mavalli	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Shirali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 12:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Honavar	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 12:00	Manki	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Bankot	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Kelshi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Kumta	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 11:45	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:45	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 11:30	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Guhagar	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 23:30	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 23:30	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 23:30	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 23:30	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Majali	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:45	Boria	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Udipi	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Advota	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chaudi	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Jaigarh	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Marmagao	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Agacaim	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Mirya	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Terekhol	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Chopdem	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:15	Anjuna	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 10:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 07:00	Panaji	India	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 09:15	Lakba	Oman	0.2
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Vengurla	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Shil	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purangad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Purnagad	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:30	Adiura	India	0.2
	31 Oct 2019 11:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	02 Nov 2019 09:15	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Devgarh	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Pural	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Gorser	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Edakkad	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Mahe	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Payyoli	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 09:45	Achra	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Ratia	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 08:00	Malvan	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Quilandi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Beypore	India	0.1
	01 Nov 2019 02:45	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:15	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Bekal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:30	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 17:30	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Kumbla	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 15:15	Filim	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 16:30	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 20:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Sib	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:15	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 04:45	Tanur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:45	Chervattur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 09:00	Madayipara	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	Yiti	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 18:30	As Sifah	Oman	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 11:30	Madayi	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:15	Kannapuram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Tuna	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 16:30	Jambura	India	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 15:00	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	31 Oct 2019 05:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Lamba	India	0.1
	02 Nov 2019 18:00	Miyani	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.