Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 06 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	187 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Oct 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	187 km/h	0.3 m	263 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	169	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	187	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

970 mm

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India	8,009
50-100 mm	India, Maldives	4,588,510	+
	India	4,562,331
	Maldives	26,179

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 00:00	116	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	26 Oct 2019 06:00	133	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Oct 2019 12:00	154	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Oct 2019 18:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	27 Oct 2019 00:00	175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	27 Oct 2019 06:00	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	27 Oct 2019 12:00	171	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	27 Oct 2019 18:00	199	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	28 Oct 2019 00:00	225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	28 Oct 2019 06:00	1254	8 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Jambura, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 06:15	Jambura	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:45	Tuna	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Suthri	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:15	Sika	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Mundra	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Gadechi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Okha	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Aramda	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:15	Jhankhar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Mandvi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Navinal	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Bhadia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Adodar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Ratia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Porbandar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Gorser	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 07:45	Dwarka	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 07:45	Madhi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:45	Mangrol	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Uran	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Trombay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Diva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Taloje	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Chorwad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Veraval	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Somnath	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:00	Murud	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Kodinar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kotada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Damka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Surat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Mahuver	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Harinagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Hansot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:15	Ghogha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Bhagva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Dongri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Malad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Vasai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Mumbai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Agashi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Mandve	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Palghar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Mahim	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Alibag	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Asarsa	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Tankari	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Muler	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Revadanda	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:45	Guhagar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:45	Anjanwel	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Boria	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Tarapur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Boisar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Chittadi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Kundapura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Purnagad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Gholvad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Malyan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Purangad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Bordi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Mavalli	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Shirali	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Umbargam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Maroli	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Adiura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Udipi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Chopdem	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Anjuna	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Marmagao	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Panaji	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Agacaim	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Pural	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Daman	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Udvada	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Honavar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Manki	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Sib	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Madgaon	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Achra	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.