Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 115 km/h 0.4 m 233 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

205 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia29,369 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia35,158 
50-100 mmIndia12,262,036 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Oct 2019 12:00 171 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Oct 2019 18:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Oct 2019 00:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Oct 2019 06:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 28 Oct 2019 12:00 263 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 28 Oct 2019 18:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 29 Oct 2019 00:00 313 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 29 Oct 2019 06:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 29 Oct 2019 12:00 290 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 29 Oct 2019 18:00 187 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 30 Oct 2019 00:00 236 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Oct 2019 06:00 313 40 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 04:45 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Asarsa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Tankari India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Muler India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Hansot India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Mahuva India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Damka India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Surat India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Jalalpur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Mahuver India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Bhagva India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Dharabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Rohisa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Kotada India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Khalil Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Khadra' Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:15 As Suwayq Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:15 Al Mudayq Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Asumumbay India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Uran India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Trombay India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Diva India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Taloje India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Nawabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:30 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Gholvad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Bordi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Nafun Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Malyan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 12:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Belekeri India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Gokarn India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:30 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Boisar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mahim India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Malad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 18:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Kumta India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:30 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Kodinar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 11:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Mumbai India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 10:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Revadanda India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 04:00 Mandve India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:30 Jambura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Manki India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Majali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Advota India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 06:15 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 06:15 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 03:00 Kelshi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:45 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:45 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:30 Madgaon India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Mavalli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Gadechi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Okha India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Aramda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Sutrapada India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 09:45 Tuna India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Bainduru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 06:45 Suthri India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Chittadi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Guhagar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 01:45 Anjanwel India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Edakkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Mahe India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Badagara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:45 Payyoli India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:00 Malvan India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:00 Kundapura India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Sharkh Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Boria India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Filim Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 02:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Mandvi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:15 Cannanore India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Masnaah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Murayjat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:15 Quilandi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:30 Udipi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Beypore India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:00 Bhadia India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Azhikkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:30 Devgarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:30 Achra India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Vijayadurg India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Pural India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Madayipara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Chorwad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Navinal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:45 Mulki India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Manumah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 17:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
31 Oct 2019 17:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Tanur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 09:15 Mundra India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:30 Yiti Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:30 As Sifah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:45 Sika India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Jhankhar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mangrol India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Trikkaripur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Mawalis Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Kumbla India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Kasaragod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:15 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Chervattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 07:45 Ponnani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Shil India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
30 Oct 2019 08:00 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 11:30 Ratia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.1