Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

25 Oct 2019 18 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	108 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (26 Oct 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	108 km/h	0.4 m	101 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	205 km/h	0.5 m	970 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

205 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
50-100 mm	India	249,962

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 18:00	73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	25 Oct 2019 00:00	180	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	25 Oct 2019 06:00	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	176	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Oct 2019 18:00	491	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Murud, India. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Murud	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 23:45	Srivardhan	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Mirya	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Ratnagiri	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Purangad	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Purnagad	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 23:15	Bankot	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 23:15	Kelshi	India	0.4
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Adiura	India	0.4
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Revadanda	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Boria	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Guhagar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Anjanwel	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:45	Jaigarh	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Alibag	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Vijayadurg	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Vengurla	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Terekhol	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Devgarh	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Pural	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Achra	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Malvan	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Chopdem	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:30	Anjuna	India	0.3
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Mandve	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Kumta	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Honavar	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Manki	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:30	Panaji	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Marmagao	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Agacaim	India	0.3
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Shirali	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:30	Madgaon	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Gokarn	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Belekeri	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Ankola	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Advota	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Chaudi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Majali	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Khalil	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Khadra'	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	As Suwayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Ascira	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Karwar	India	0.2
	26 Oct 2019 00:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:30	Bainduru	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:30	Chittadi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 21:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Kundapura	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Udipi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:30	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 23:00	Mulki	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:15	Masnaah	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:15	Bu 'Abali	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 20:15	Abu 'Abali	Oman	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Malad	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Agashi	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Dongri	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:15	Vasai	India	0.2
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Kumbla	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Bekal	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Palghar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Mahim	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Beypore	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:00	Suwadi al Batsa'	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:00	Billa	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Mahuva	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Quilandi	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Payyoli	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Rohisa	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:30	Boisar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:15	Murayjat	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Barka	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:45	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Kodinar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:45	Aiesloho	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:45	Mach	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:45	Tooxin	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 22:45	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:00	Badagara	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:15	Mahe	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Delvada	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 21:45	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:00	Ratia	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 20:00	Gorser	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 18:45	Deh-Cabo	Somalia	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Veraval	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:30	Somnath	India	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	25 Oct 2019 19:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.