Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 00 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Oct 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	155 km/h	0.3 m	410 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	2,602

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Somalia, India, Maldives	21,741	+
	India	18,321
	Somalia	514
	Maldives	2,906
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	25,281	+
	India	18,930
	Somalia	5,683
	Ethiopia	668

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	1094	20 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Suthri	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Jambura	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:15	Tuna	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Okha	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Aramda	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 06:00	Sika	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Gadechi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 05:45	Mundra	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 05:45	Jhankhar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Veraval	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Somnath	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:15	Sutrapada	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Mandvi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 09:00	Dwarka	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 08:45	Bhadia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Asumumbay	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Uran	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Trombay	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Diva	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 11:15	Taloje	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Madhi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Bhogat	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 05:30	Navinal	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:45	Porbandar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:45	Adodar	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 01:45	Ratia	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 00:45	Chorwad	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:15	Miyani	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:15	Gorser	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:30	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:30	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Delvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Rohisa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:30	Kodinar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:15	Dahej	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:15	Harinagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 07:15	Hansot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Asarsa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 00:15	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Tarapur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Shirgaon	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Palghar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Mahim	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Boisar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Maroli	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Ghogha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 04:00	Tankari	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 04:00	Muler	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Murud	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 06:30	Bhagva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 01:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Alibag	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Revadanda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:15	Damka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:15	Surat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:15	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 05:15	Mahuver	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Malad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 04:45	Kotada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Daman	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Srivardhan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Agashi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Dongri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:15	Vasai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Malyan	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:45	Mandve	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Umbargam	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 02:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Bankot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 10:30	Kelshi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Guhagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Anjanwel	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 09:00	Boria	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 07:45	Vengurla	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 07:45	Terekhol	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:30	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Purangad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Purnagad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Adiura	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Belekeri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Ankola	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Gokarn	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Devgarh	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Achra	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 10:00	Kumta	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:00	Malvan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Chervattur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayipara	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 00:00	Anjuna	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Tanur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Ceelaayo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 05:00	Bender Siyaada	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:00	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 11:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Beypore	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 09:15	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 08:30	Pural	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.