Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Jul 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.2 m 208 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico2142784 
50-100 mmMexico31064484 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 364 2.1 million
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Gloria, Mexico. This height is estimated for 06 Jul 2020 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Jul 2020 23:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:45 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:45 Buena Vista United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:45 Holly Beach United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:45 South Padre Island United States  0.2
06 Jul 2020 21:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 North Beach United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Doyle United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Portland United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Port Isabel United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:30 Datilito Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:30 La Paz Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Austwell United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:15 Novillero Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Gregory United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 21:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link