Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 86 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Jul 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 86 km/h 0.4 m 114 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 2 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico1992 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 140 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico362864 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 348 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 00:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 North Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Gardendale United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Doyle United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Orange Grove United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Portland United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:30 Gregory United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:15 Cedros Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:30 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 01:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 05:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Novillero Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Arista Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 05:00 La Majada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:30 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 Empalme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 04:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 01:15 Boca Chica United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 04:30 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 La Florida Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 Mulege Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 04:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 03:15 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 02:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link