Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Jul 00:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.3 m 173 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 3 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico2608 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Jul 2020 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 11 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Jul 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 12 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 12 Jul 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 12 Jul 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 13 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 13 Jul 2020 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Jul 2020 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 13 Jul 2020 18:00 68 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico7 
100-250 mmMexico16246911 
50-100 mmMexico45257089 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 124 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 11 Jul 2020 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 19 11 Jul 2020 06:00 87 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 20 11 Jul 2020 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 11 Jul 2020 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 12 Jul 2020 00:00 44 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 12 Jul 2020 06:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 12 Jul 2020 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 12 Jul 2020 18:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 13 Jul 2020 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 13 Jul 2020 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 13 Jul 2020 12:00 23 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 13 Jul 2020 18:00 173 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 00:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 00:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 07:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:15 La Playa Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 22:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 22:45 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 22:45 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 El Roble Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 North Beach United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Gardendale United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Doyle United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Orange Grove United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Portland United States  0.3
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Gregory United States  0.3
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Novillero Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Maudlowe United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Tivoli United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Spanish Village United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Austwell United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Green Lake United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 North Seadrift United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Long Mott United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 06:45 Seadrift United States  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Arista Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 22:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 23:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 23:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
12 Jul 2020 23:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:15 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
06 Jul 2020 23:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Buena Vista United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 South Padre Island United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 17:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 16:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Indianola United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Olivia United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 06:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 05:00 La Boca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 04:45 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 15:30 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Peary Place United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Monteon Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:00 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
11 Jul 2020 01:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 El Martillo United States  0.1
06 Jul 2020 20:30 Yarborough United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:30 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:30 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:15 La Palmita Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 La Redonda Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Nuxco Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:15 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 El Ciruelo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Coyote Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Tlachicon Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Coyuquillas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Marmol Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Florida Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 05:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Calvario Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Chagues Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Colonia Simon Bolivar Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 Ejido Lavaderos Mexico  0.1
06 Jul 2020 23:45 El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 02:15 Bajos de Chila Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:45 Copala Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
10 Jul 2020 01:30 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Las Pinas Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Estes United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Port Aransas United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Rockport United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:15 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 04:30 Estrecho Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link