Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.3 m 23 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico3 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 11 Jul 2020 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 19 11 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Jul 2020 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 12 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 12 Jul 2020 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 12 Jul 2020 12:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 12 Jul 2020 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 13 Jul 2020 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 13 Jul 2020 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 13 Jul 2020 12:00 61 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico291142 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 128 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Jul 2020 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 10 Jul 2020 00:00 98 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 15 10 Jul 2020 06:00 82 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 10 Jul 2020 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Jul 2020 18:00 124 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 18 11 Jul 2020 00:00 130 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 19 11 Jul 2020 06:00 87 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 20 11 Jul 2020 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 11 Jul 2020 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 12 Jul 2020 00:00 44 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 12 Jul 2020 06:00 36 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 12 Jul 2020 12:00 18 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 12 Jul 2020 18:00 33 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 13 Jul 2020 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 13 Jul 2020 06:00 22 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 13 Jul 2020 12:00 282 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 16 Jul 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Jul 2020 04:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 06:15 El Barril Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Tastiota Mexico  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Corpus Christi United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 North Beach United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Gardendale United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Doyle United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Orange Grove United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Portland United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Gregory United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Maudlowe United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Tivoli United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Spanish Village United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Austwell United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Green Lake United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 North Seadrift United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Long Mott United States  0.3
15 Jul 2020 05:30 Seadrift United States  0.3
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.3
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Empalme Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 06:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 03:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Jose Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Liliba Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Loreto Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Ligui Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 El Roble Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Tripui Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 17:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:45 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 09:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 14:45 Datilito Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 14:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 17:00 Arista Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 23:15 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
13 Jul 2020 23:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Los Burros Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Point Comfort United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Magnolia Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Indianola United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Olivia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Weedhaven United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Port Alto United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Carancahua United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 02:45 El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 21:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 21:15 Buena Vista United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 21:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
15 Jul 2020 21:15 South Padre Island United States  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.2
15 Jul 2020 03:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
16 Jul 2020 05:00 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Cedros Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:45 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 09:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 03:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Sea Isle United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Anderson Ways United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Galveston United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 00:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 20:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:00 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:30 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:30 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:30 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 22:30 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:45 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Palacios United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Collegeport United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 07:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 01:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
14 Jul 2020 05:15 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:00 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:00 Port Morris United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 10:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 03:30 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Port Isabel United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:30 Boca Chica United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Mims United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Surfside Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Freeport United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Quintana United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 07:15 Surfside United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:15 Estes United States  0.1
14 Jul 2020 06:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 04:45 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:00 La Trinadad Mexico  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Mustang Beach United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Port Aransas United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Rockport United States  0.1
15 Jul 2020 02:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
13 Jul 2020 16:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
16 Jul 2020 05:15 Aguaje Mexico  0.1
13 Jul 2020 16:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link