Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jul 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 105 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico666 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 144 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico3572340 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 126 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 309 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 North Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Gardendale United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Doyle United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Orange Grove United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Portland United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Gregory United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:30 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:45 El Roble Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 10:45 El Barril Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 06:45 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:45 La Majada Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 11:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 07:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:30 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:30 La Playa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 08:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 11:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 06:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 10:45 Guasimas Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link