Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.4 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 137 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico1286767 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 151 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 484 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.4
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:15 La Playa Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 18:45 El Barril Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Huajapan Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 El Roble Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 La Majada Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Empalme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:30 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 North Beach United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Gardendale United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Doyle United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Orange Grove United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Portland United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Gregory United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Arista Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Mulege Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Borabampo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 San Jose Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 San Cosme Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Buena Vista United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Holly Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:15 South Padre Island United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 Liliba Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Loreto Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Ligui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Tripui Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:45 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 21:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 22:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 20:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 19:15 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:15 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:00 San Blas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Tambobiche Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 La Paz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:45 Rosario Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:30 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:45 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 22:45 Bahia Asuncion Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Kopernik Shores United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Boca Chica United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 19:00 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:00 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 21:00 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Peary Place United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 00:00 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 18:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:15 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 23:00 Cunano Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 20:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link