Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 83 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (07 Jul 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 83 km/h 0.6 m 405 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico878 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 140 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico211 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 558 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in El Golfo de Santa Clara, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 22:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.6
07 Jul 2020 21:15 La Choya Mexico  0.6
07 Jul 2020 21:15 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.6
07 Jul 2020 22:45 El Tornillal Mexico  0.6
07 Jul 2020 23:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.5
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 22:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Buenaventura Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.4
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 20:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:30 Puertecitos Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:30 Molino Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 19:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:45 San Rafael Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 22:30 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:30 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 22:15 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 19:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 19:30 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 23:00 La Florida Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 23:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 20:15 San Blas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 20:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 San Pedro United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Wilmington United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Signal Hill United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Surfside United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Seal Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Mulege Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Datilito Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:15 La Paz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Rosario Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Empalme Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 19:00 Guaymas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 20:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 23:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Naples United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Coromar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Isla Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Goleta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Hope Ranch United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Mission United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 23:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 23:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Montecito United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Summerland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:00 Rincon United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:00 Shepards United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:00 Punta United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Austwell United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Faria United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Dulah United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 San Buenaventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Ventura United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Oxnard United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Capitan United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Lento United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Tajiguas United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Las Cruces United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Gaviota United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Alsace United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Clifton United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Sacate United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:45 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:00 Monteon Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 San Augustine United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:45 Tamiahua Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:45 El Naranjal Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Malibu United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Monte Nido United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Las Flores United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Point Dume United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 El Nido United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Sycamore United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Solromar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Malibu West United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Coronado United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Boal United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:45 Marmol Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Marie Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 La Jolla United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 The Muirlands United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Azure Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Mission Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Easter Cross United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Roseville United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Sorrento United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Loma Portal United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 San Diego United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Two Harbors United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Avalon United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:00 La Lima Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Solana Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Del Mar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Balboa United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 23:30 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 23:30 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:15 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:15 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 20:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 19:15 Concepcion United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Leucadia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Encinitas United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:15 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:45 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 21:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:30 South Laguna United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link