Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ELIDA-20 in Mexico from 09 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC to 13 Aug 2020 03:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIDA-20

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIDA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	130 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (11 Aug 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	130 km/h	0.3 m	134 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	151 km/h	0.7 m	1071 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	115	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	United States, Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

1071 mm

Up to Few people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Mexico	50
50-100 mm	Mexico	10,494,888

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	09 Aug 2020 00:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	09 Aug 2020 06:00	197	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	09 Aug 2020 12:00	192	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
4	09 Aug 2020 18:00	129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	10 Aug 2020 00:00	85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	10 Aug 2020 06:00	121	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	10 Aug 2020 12:00	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	10 Aug 2020 18:00	217	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
9	11 Aug 2020 00:00	133	-		-	-	-	-	-	Mexico
10	11 Aug 2020 06:00	505	Few people			-	-	-	-	Mexico

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Molino, Mexico. This height is estimated for 11 Aug 2020 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Aug 2020 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Molino	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Molino Lacy	Mexico	0.3
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Topolobampo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Cachoana	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:30	Puerto Libertad	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 07:15	Puerto Cortes	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 07:15	El Guatamota	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Novillero	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Cuantla	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:45	Tecomate	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:45	Cabo Tepoca	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Jose	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Atanacio	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	El Paredoncito	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:30	El Desemboque	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Maudlowe	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Tivoli	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Spanish Village	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Austwell	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	North Seadrift	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Long Mott	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Seadrift	United States	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Ligui	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Tripui	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Cosme	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:45	Puerto Venustiano Carranza	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Borabampo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	Santa Marta	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	Loreto	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	El Aquajito	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:30	Camahuiroa	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	Las Bocas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 09:30	Agua de las Flores	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Bruno	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Mulege	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Puerto Charley	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:15	Santa Rosalia	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Guasimas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Los Dolores	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	San Juanico	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Boca del Rio	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 11:00	Bahia Kino	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Guaymas	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Empalme	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Ignacio	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Tambobiche	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Liliba	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Los Burros	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.2
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:45	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:45	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Corpus Christi	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	North Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Gardendale	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Doyle	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Orange Grove	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Peary Place	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Portland	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Gregory	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Flour Bluff	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Ingleside	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Kenney Lane West Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Indian Trails Lane Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Country Acres Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Country Estates Colonia	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 09:15	Aransas Pass	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	La Playa Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:00	San Rafael	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Tastiota	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Toro Mocho	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Estes	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Mustang Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 08:45	Port Aransas	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:30	Puerto Magdalena	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:30	San Carlos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 11:30	Madero Amarillo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Rockport	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Shell Ridge	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	La Playa	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 07:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Holiday Beach	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Lamar	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Copano Village	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:45	Fulton	United States	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	El Barril	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	La Redonda	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:15	Quinones	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	San Juanico	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Boca del Melgoita	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Buenaventura	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	Copala	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	Marquelia	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	Paso Hondo	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 06:00	Agua del Coyote	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 12:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	11 Aug 2020 10:30	Tlachicon	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.