Overall Red Tropical Cyclone alert for TAUKTAE-21 in India, Pakistan from 14 May 2021 06:00 UTC to 17 May 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for TAUKTAE-21

in India, Pakistan

16 May 2021 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TAUKTAE-21 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	India, Pakistan
Exposed population	970 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	3.3 m (17 May 20:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	155 km/h	3.3 m	178 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	176 km/h	3.7 m	920 mm	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

176 km/h

Up to 970 thousand in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
CAT. 1	India	970,578
Tropical Storm	India, Pakistan	57,744,027	+
	India	57,421,564
	Pakistan	322,463

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	Iran, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Maldives
3	14 May 2021 18:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	101	-	-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran, Pakistan, India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	126	-	-	-	-	-	-	Pakistan
7	15 May 2021 18:00	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	151	Few people		-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	176	970 thousand		-	-	-	-	India, Pakistan

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,115,528
100-250 mm	India, Nepal, China	19,598,583	+
	India	19,595,660
	China	09
	Nepal	2,912
50-100 mm	India, China, Nepal, Pakistan	63,353,180	+
	India	62,926,161
	China	6,808
	Nepal	400,243
	Pakistan	19,966

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	14 May 2021 06:00	194	1.3 million			-	-	-	-	India
2	14 May 2021 12:00	269	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	14 May 2021 18:00	274	5.1 million			-	-	-	-	India
4	15 May 2021 00:00	315	1.6 million			-	-	-	-	India
5	15 May 2021 06:00	227	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
6	15 May 2021 12:00	156	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	15 May 2021 18:00	159	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
8	16 May 2021 00:00	193	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
9	16 May 2021 06:00	215	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
10	16 May 2021 12:00	385	20.7 million				-	-	-	India, China, Nepal, Pakistan

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

3.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 3.3m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 17 May 2021 20:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 May 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 May 2021 20:45	Wadgam	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 20:45	Kambhat	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 20:45	Kavi	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 20:45	Sarod	India	3.3
	17 May 2021 20:45	Tankari	India	3.2
	17 May 2021 20:15	Asarsa	India	3.0
	17 May 2021 20:00	Harinagar	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 19:45	Ghogha	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 19:45	Dahej	India	2.9
	17 May 2021 19:45	Muler	India	2.8
	17 May 2021 18:30	Hansot	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 14:15	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 14:00	Jafarabad	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 13:30	Dharabandar	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 13:30	Rohisa	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 15:00	Mahuva	India	2.6
	17 May 2021 17:00	Kotada	India	2.5
	17 May 2021 17:30	Bhagva	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 17:15	Damka	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Olpad	India	2.4
	17 May 2021 13:15	Delvada	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 13:15	Nawabandar	India	2.2
	17 May 2021 17:00	Surat	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:00	Jalalpur	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:00	Mahuver	India	2.1
	17 May 2021 17:00	Nausari	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Navsari	India	1.9
	17 May 2021 17:00	Dharasana	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 17:00	Valsad	India	1.8
	17 May 2021 17:15	Bilimora	India	1.7
	17 May 2021 16:30	Udvada	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:15	Daman	India	1.6
	17 May 2021 16:45	Maroli	India	1.5
	17 May 2021 16:45	Umbargam	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 16:45	Bordi	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 16:45	Gholvad	India	1.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Dangarvadi	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kotra Nes	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 16:15	Malyan	India	1.3
	17 May 2021 16:15	Sakhare	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 16:30	Tarapur	India	1.2
	17 May 2021 16:30	Boisar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 17:30	Kodinar	India	1.1
	17 May 2021 16:30	Shirgaon	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:30	Palghar	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:30	Mahim	India	1.0
	17 May 2021 16:15	Agashi	India	0.9
	17 May 2021 17:15	Lodhwa	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Mumbai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Asumumbay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Uran	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Trombay	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Diva	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:00	Taloje	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 11:30	Malad	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 14:45	Nalasopara	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 15:30	Vasai	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Dongri	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 12:30	Mira Bhayandar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 09:15	Navghar	India	0.8
	17 May 2021 17:15	Sutrapada	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 09:30	Mandve	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 17:15	Guhagar	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 17:15	Anjanwel	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 17:15	Veraval	India	0.7
	17 May 2021 17:15	Somnath	India	0.7
	16 May 2021 17:15	Boria	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:30	Vijayadurg	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:30	Devgarh	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:30	Pural	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 08:45	Alibag	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 08:45	Revadanda	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 17:00	Jaigarh	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:30	Murud	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 01:30	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 17:30	Mirya	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 17:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 18:30	Bankot	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 18:30	Kelshi	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:45	Purangad	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:45	Purnagad	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:45	Adiura	India	0.6
	17 May 2021 03:00	Srivardhan	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 13:30	Achra	India	0.6
	16 May 2021 14:15	Vengurla	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 14:15	Terekhol	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:45	Malvan	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:30	Chopdem	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:30	Anjuna	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:45	Marmagao	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:45	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 13:45	Panaji	India	0.5
	17 May 2021 18:45	Chorwad	India	0.5
	16 May 2021 14:00	Agacaim	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 14:00	Madgaon	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Gadechi	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Okha	India	0.4
	17 May 2021 17:30	Aramda	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 06:30	Chudeswar	India	0.4
	18 May 2021 06:30	Salaya	India	0.4
	16 May 2021 15:00	Chiruttoppu	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 15:00	Mannar	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 15:00	Periyavilankuli	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 15:00	Attimoddai	Sri Lanka	0.4
	16 May 2021 14:00	Advota	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 14:00	Chaudi	India	0.3
	18 May 2021 05:30	Jambura	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 12:00	New Kandla	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 12:00	Navlakhi	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:15	Majali	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 12:00	Tuna	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 12:00	Jodiya	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 08:00	Pooneryn	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 08:00	Aliavalai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Kumta	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Honavar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Manki	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Karwar	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Belekeri	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Ankola	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Gokarn	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 08:00	Kavutarimunai	Sri Lanka	0.3
	19 May 2021 08:00	Nawaladi	Sri Lanka	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Sadashivgarh	India	0.3
	19 May 2021 06:00	Ampan	Sri Lanka	0.3
	17 May 2021 18:45	Mangrol	India	0.3
	16 May 2021 12:00	Mavalli	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:30	Jaffna	Sri Lanka	0.2
	16 May 2021 12:15	Shirali	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 12:15	Bhatkal	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 21:45	Shil	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 12:00	Mundra	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 06:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 06:00	Sika	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 12:00	Bainduru	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 12:00	Chittadi	India	0.2
	16 May 2021 12:00	Kundapura	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 22:45	Kayts	Sri Lanka	0.2
	19 May 2021 12:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	17 May 2021 18:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:15	Atirampattinam	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 16:00	Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	18 May 2021 23:00	Kurichchikadu	Sri Lanka	0.2
	18 May 2021 15:45	Manamelkudi	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 12:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	19 May 2021 07:30	Ratia	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 07:30	Gorser	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:15	Adodar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Kodigeri	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Vedaranyam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Vedaranniyam	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 12:00	Udipi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:00	Kiranchi	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:15	Porbandar	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 12:00	Talaimannar	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 16:15	Ammapatam	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:15	Lamba	India	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 15:15	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	16 May 2021 12:00	Silavatturai	Sri Lanka	0.1
	19 May 2021 12:00	Mandvi	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:30	Nizampatam	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:30	Kottapalem	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 11:15	Akri	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 05:30	Vellankulam	Sri Lanka	0.1
	16 May 2021 12:00	Mulki	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:00	Rumra	Pakistan	0.1
	18 May 2021 14:00	Kalat	Pakistan	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Thoothukkudi	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Melmandai	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 04:30	Vembar	India	0.1
	18 May 2021 23:30	Lankavanidibba	India	0.1
	19 May 2021 08:00	Bhogat	India	0.1
	17 May 2021 17:15	Kottaippattanam	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.