Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HOWARD-22
in Mexico
12 Aug 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HOWARD-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries United States, Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (12 Aug 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 112 km/h 0.6 m 427 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormUnited States, Mexico790
+
United States13 
Mexico777 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 72 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
GREEN 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 11 Aug 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 12 Aug 2022 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmMexico, Guatemala101,456
+
Mexico8,247 
Guatemala93,209 
100-250 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala11,247,007
+
United States75,911 
Mexico7,136,684 
Guatemala4,034,411 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Guatemala38,597,338
+
United States6,795,974 
Mexico31,033,468 
Guatemala767,895 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Aug 2022 12:00 168 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 06 Aug 2022 18:00 118 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Aug 2022 00:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Aug 2022 06:00 141 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Aug 2022 12:00 221 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 07 Aug 2022 18:00 153 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 7 08 Aug 2022 00:00 85 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 8 08 Aug 2022 06:00 106 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 08 Aug 2022 12:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 08 Aug 2022 18:00 130 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 11 09 Aug 2022 00:00 103 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 12 09 Aug 2022 06:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 09 Aug 2022 12:00 102 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 09 Aug 2022 18:00 123 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico
Blue 15 10 Aug 2022 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 16 10 Aug 2022 06:00 125 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 10 Aug 2022 12:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 10 Aug 2022 18:00 74 -
- - - - - United States, Guatemala
Blue 19 11 Aug 2022 00:00 78 -
- - - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala
Blue 20 11 Aug 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 21 11 Aug 2022 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 11 Aug 2022 18:00 66 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 23 12 Aug 2022 00:00 252 1.4 million
- - - - United States, Mexico, Guatemala




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Texas, North Beach, United States. This height is estimated for 11/08/2022 01:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.25 - 0.5 mMexico, United States733
+
Mexico69 
United States664 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Aug 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
11/08/2022 01:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
11/08/2022 07:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.3
10/08/2022 06:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
11/08/2022 02:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.3
10/08/2022 05:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
11/08/2022 02:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
10/08/2022 04:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
11/08/2022 06:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
11/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
11/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
11/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
11/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
11/08/2022 03:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
10/08/2022 07:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
11/08/2022 08:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
06/08/2022 21:00 Sonora, La Choya Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 06:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
10/08/2022 21:00 Baja California Sur, Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 06:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.2
11/08/2022 10:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.2
12/08/2022 00:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 02:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 21:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.2
07/08/2022 11:00 Baja California, Puertecitos Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 20:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 20:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 22:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.2
11/08/2022 16:00 Veracruz, El Laurel Mexico  0.2
06/08/2022 19:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
06/08/2022 18:00 Baja California Sur, Isla Cedros Cedros Mexico  0.1
11/08/2022 21:00 Sinaloa, Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
11/08/2022 23:00 Sonora, Atanacio Mexico  0.1
11/08/2022 23:00 Sonora, San Jose Mexico  0.1
11/08/2022 01:00 Sonora, Guaymas Mexico  0.1
06/08/2022 12:00 California, McNears Beach United States  0.0
06/08/2022 12:00 California, Tiburon United States  0.0
06/08/2022 12:00 California, Belvedere United States  0.0
06/08/2022 12:00 California, Angel Island Fort McDowell United States
06/08/2022 12:00 California, North Beach United States
06/08/2022 12:00 California, Brisbane United States
06/08/2022 12:00 California, Bayview District United States