Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (14 Oct 09:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 0.5 m n.a. 0.5
HWRF Overall 90 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

158 km/h

Up to Few people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Yemen5 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen470643
+
Oman68678 
Other countries313 
Yemen401652 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 113 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 154 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 158 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 157 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 134 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 129 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 118 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 126 Few people
- - - - Oman, Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 09:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 09:45 Qishn Yemen  0.5
13 Oct 2018 08:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.4
13 Oct 2018 07:15 Tabut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 07:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 07:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Saqr Yemen  0.3
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Itab Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 09:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:45 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:45 Qadub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Qandala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 13:00 Botiala Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 18:00 Ascira Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:45 Sarar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:45 Raida Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 12:45 Hasana Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Aiesloho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:30 Mach Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Qusayir Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Dhafghan Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Kambhat India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Kavi India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Sarod India  0.2
15 Oct 2018 17:30 Wadgam India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Geeri Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:30 Ghubbah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Ankhor Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:45 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Saylac Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:00 Hami Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Jilah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Khird Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:00 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
15 Oct 2018 21:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Gishub Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Steroh Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Buro Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:15 Marero Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Qa'wa Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Salalah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Sudh Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 09:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 14:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Khormaksar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 'Adan Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 08:30 Caluula Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Maallah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Shaqra Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 11:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Jarub Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 21:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Dhurbo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Bandar Murcaayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Geesaley Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Abo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 'Imran Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Seyara Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Asarsa India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:15 Harinagar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:30 Miji Oman  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Ankola India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Gokarn India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:30 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:30 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:15 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Burum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Behld Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Idi Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:30 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:30 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:30 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Advota India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Chaudi India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Majali India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 06:00 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 16:45 Ghogha India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 02:45 Hawra Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 02:45 Debba Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 02:45 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 02:45 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Dahej India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Tankari India  0.1
15 Oct 2018 17:00 Muler India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 06:00 Madgaon India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Vengurla India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Terekhol India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Chopdem India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Maushij Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 03:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Siqirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Nait Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:00 Filim Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:45 Culli Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Jabanah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:30 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:00 Taqah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 08:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
16 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:30 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:30 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 04:30 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 09:30 Kotada India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 08:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 08:45 Karwar India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Suhar Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:15 Al 'Uwaynat Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:15 As Sahm Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 06:30 As Sirab Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 07:45 Mutra Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:45 Dauli Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link