Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

28 Oct 2019 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	162 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (28 Oct 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	162 km/h	0.3 m	687 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,501

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Somalia	32,863	+
	India	31,682
	Somalia	1,181
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Maldives, Ethiopia	123,420	+
	India	113,545
	Somalia	6,950
	Maldives	2,906
	Ethiopia	19

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	1230	30 thousand			-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Maldives, Ethiopia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 28 Oct 2019 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Wadgam	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Kambhat	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 20:00	Kavi	India	0.3
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Asumumbay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Uran	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Trombay	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Diva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Taloje	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 17:00	Suthri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Tuna	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Mundra	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Sika	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Navinal	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Dwarka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Gadechi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Okha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:15	Madhi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Bhadia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 16:15	Mandvi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Bhogat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Lamba	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Asarsa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Ratia	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Damka	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Surat	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Mahuver	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Mahuva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 18:00	Harinagar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Daman	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Udvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 17:30	Ghogha	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Mangrol	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Chorwad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 17:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 17:45	Tankari	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 17:45	Muler	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Kotada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Lodhwa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Kodinar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:00	Kotra Nes	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Jafarabad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Delvada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Nawabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Dharabandar	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Rohisa	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 16:15	Hansot	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Maroli	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Shil	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Veraval	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Somnath	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Sutrapada	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 16:00	Bhagva	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:15	Tarapur	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Dongri	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Malad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Mumbai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:30	Umbargam	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Nalasopara	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Vasai	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Gholvad	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Bordi	India	0.2
	28 Oct 2019 13:45	Malyan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Shirgaon	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Boisar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Mandve	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Alibag	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:00	Revadanda	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:30	Palghar	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 13:30	Mahim	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Murud	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:15	Agar Panchaitan	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Mirya	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Purangad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Purnagad	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Ascira	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:45	Agashi	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:15	Dafiyat	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:15	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 17:15	Shiinzi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Sala Gon	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Hurdiyo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Hundegal	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Xaafuun	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Boho	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Ankhor	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Hais	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Maydh	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	Khormaksar	Yemen	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:15	Anteral	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Seyara	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:15	Dagah Gudud	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:45	Bandar Jedid	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:00	Laasqoray	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 14:30	Al Irqah	Yemen	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:00	Berbera	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:00	Batalaale	Somalia	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 12:15	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:30	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 15:30	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 19:00	Mahe	India	0.1
	28 Oct 2019 18:30	Adiura	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.