Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (26 Oct 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 137 km/h 0.5 m 116 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia1,663,289 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 570 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Murud, India. This height is estimated for 26 Oct 2019 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
26 Oct 2019 00:30 Murud India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 00:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.5
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Agashi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Dongri India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Vasai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Srivardhan India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Malad India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Mumbai India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 03:45 Revadanda India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 00:15 Alibag India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Bankot India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Kelshi India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Asumumbay India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Mandve India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Palghar India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Mahim India  0.4
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Mirya India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Ratnagiri India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Guhagar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Anjanwel India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Boria India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Purangad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Purnagad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Kotada India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Shirgaon India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Boisar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Adiura India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Mahuva India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Tarapur India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:15 Vijayadurg India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Jalalpur India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:15 Pural India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Vengurla India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Terekhol India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Gholvad India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Malyan India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Bordi India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Umbargam India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Devgarh India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Daman India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Udvada India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Uran India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Trombay India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Diva India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Taloje India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:00 Maroli India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Damka India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 04:30 Dharabandar India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 04:30 Rohisa India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Chopdem India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:45 Anjuna India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Marmagao India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Panaji India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Agacaim India  0.3
26 Oct 2019 04:00 Delvada India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 04:00 Nawabandar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Achra India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 00:00 Malvan India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Madgaon India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Kotra Nes India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Surat India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Mahuver India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Chittadi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Kundapura India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Kodinar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Bainduru India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Advota India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Chaudi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Ratia India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Gorser India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Veraval India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Somnath India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Chorwad India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Udipi India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Majali India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Mangrol India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:15 Shil India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:15 Karwar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Adodar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Porbandar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Mavalli India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Shirali India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Belekeri India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Honavar India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Manki India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Ankola India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Gokarn India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 04:00 Kumta India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Mulki India  0.2
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 05:30 Ghogha India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Khalil Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Khadra' Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:15 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:15 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:45 Filim Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Dahej India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:30 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Lamba India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:00 Miyani India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Harinagar India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:45 Bhogat India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 03:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 01:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
26 Oct 2019 04:30 Suthri India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 02:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
26 Oct 2019 06:00 Bhagva India  0.1