Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Jul 04:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.3 m 131 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 140 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico30257 
50-100 mmMexico19703826 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 414 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Agua de las Flores, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 03:00 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:15 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 04:15 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 04:15 El Barril Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Austwell United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 La Gloria Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Chaparral Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 02:30 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Ejido Guandalupe Victoria Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 Rancho Magueyes Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 00:45 El Mezquital Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 05:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Arroyo City Subdivision Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Buena Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Holly Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 South Padre Island United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:00 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 La Playa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Quinones Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:30 La Boca Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Gardendale United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Doyle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Orange Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Peary Place United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Portland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Flour Bluff United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Ingleside United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Kenney Lane West Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Port Ingleside United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Indian Trails Lane Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Vista United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Laguna Heights United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Port Isabel United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Mulege Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:45 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Gregory United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:30 Country Acres Colonia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Indianola United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Olivia United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:30 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Palacios United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Collegeport United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 06:00 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 04:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 El Martillo United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 00:00 Yarborough United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:00 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 05:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 01:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 02:45 Guaymas Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link