Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population Few people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (08 Jul 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.2 m 317 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 1Mexico227 
Tropical StormMexico4 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 158 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico2 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 492 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 08 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Jul 2020 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Jul 2020 12:00 La Choya Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:15 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Rincon United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Shepards United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Punta United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Faria United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Dulah United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 San Buenaventura United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Ventura United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Hollywood By The Sea United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Channel Islands Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Oxnard United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Mission United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Montecito United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Summerland United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Serena Park United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Franciscan Village United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Carpinteria United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 11:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Tecomate Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 11:45 Tastiota Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Isla Vista United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Goleta United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Hope Ranch United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Guasimas Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 El Barril Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 San Pedro United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Wilmington United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Signal Hill United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Belmont Shore United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Surfside United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Seal Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Sunset Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Huntington Beach United States  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Datilito Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:00 La Paz Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Rosario Mexico  0.2
08 Jul 2020 12:00 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Indianola United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Olivia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Coromar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:00 Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:00 Salinas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:00 Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:15 Chaparral Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Newport Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Cliff Haven United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Bay Shores United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Naples United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:45 Palacios United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:45 Simpsonville United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Rancho Palos Verdes United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Rolling Hills Estates United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Rolling Hills United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 The Muirlands United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Azure Vista United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Mission Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Roseville United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Loma Portal United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 San Diego United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Coronado United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Boal United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:00 Loreto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:00 Ligui Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Capitan United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 La Boca Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Alvarado Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Castellammare United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Pacific Palisades United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Santa Monica United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Sawtelle United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Marina del Rey United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Playa del Rey United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Alsace United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 El Segundo United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Manhattan Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Hermosa Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Palos Verdes Estates United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Clifton United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Redondo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Estes United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Rockport United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Copano Village United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Fulton United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:30 Lamar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Balboa United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Corona del Mar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Crystal Cove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 San Joaquin Hills United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Emerald Bay United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Laguna Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Canyon Acres United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Lento United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Tajiguas United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Two Harbors United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Avalon United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Capistrano Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 San Clemente United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Agra United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Stuart United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Fallbrook Junction United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Camp Pendleton South United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Escondido Junction United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Top of the World United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 South Laguna United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Malibu United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Monte Nido United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Las Flores United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 El Nido United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Malibu Bowl United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Point Dume United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Malibu Vista United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:45 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:45 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:45 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Malibu West United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Oceanside United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Carlsbad United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Ponto United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Solromar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Sycamore United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Leucadia United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Encinitas United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Green Valley Mobile Estates United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Cardiff-by-the-Sea United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Solana Beach United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Del Mar United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 08:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 La Jolla United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Easter Cross United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Sorrento United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Gaviota United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Las Cruces United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 12:00 Molino Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:15 Sacate United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Chinquapin United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Maudlowe United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Spanish Village United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Austwell United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Seadrift United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:15 San Augustine United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Mims United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Hoskins United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Port Morris United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Sea Isle United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 Liliba Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:30 Conejo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:00 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:15 Altata Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:15 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:45 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:30 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 San Jose Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 11:30 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 09:15 Dimas Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 07:00 Ursulo Galvan Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Tangair United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Surf United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 06:45 Narlon United States  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.1
08 Jul 2020 10:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link