Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for NORA-21
in Mexico
29 Aug 2021 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone NORA-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (29 Aug 07:15 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 445 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 137 km/h 0.7 m 1646 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to 990 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico986,844 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 25 Aug 2021 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 26 Aug 2021 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 26 Aug 2021 06:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 26 Aug 2021 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 27 Aug 2021 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 27 Aug 2021 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 27 Aug 2021 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 27 Aug 2021 18:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 28 Aug 2021 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 11 28 Aug 2021 06:00 112 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 12 28 Aug 2021 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 13 28 Aug 2021 18:00 137 Few people
- - - - Mexico
GREEN 14 29 Aug 2021 00:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
GREEN 15 29 Aug 2021 06:00 108 -
- - - - - Mexico
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
750-1000 mmMexico35,043 
500-750 mmMexico16,824 
250-500 mmMexico609,679 
100-250 mmMexico217,556 
50-100 mmMexico935,037 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 25 Aug 2021 18:00 289 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 2 26 Aug 2021 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 26 Aug 2021 06:00 488 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 26 Aug 2021 12:00 413 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 26 Aug 2021 18:00 318 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 27 Aug 2021 00:00 363 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 27 Aug 2021 06:00 391 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 27 Aug 2021 12:00 193 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 9 27 Aug 2021 18:00 225 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 28 Aug 2021 00:00 143 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 11 28 Aug 2021 06:00 179 Few people
- - - - Mexico
Blue 12 28 Aug 2021 12:00 220 130 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 13 28 Aug 2021 18:00 363 360 thousand
- - - Mexico
Blue 14 29 Aug 2021 00:00 340 30 thousand
- - - - Mexico
Blue 15 29 Aug 2021 06:00 1051 880 thousand
- Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in El Nuevo, Mexico. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2021 07:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Aug 2021 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2021 07:15 El Nuevo Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 07:45 Cuantla Mexico  0.5
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Cuamecate Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:15 San Blas Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:45 Novillero Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.4
29 Aug 2021 08:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 08:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 08:30 Jarilla Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 06:45 Monteon Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 06:45 La Lima Mexico  0.3
29 Aug 2021 08:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 09:15 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 07:00 El Tule Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 07:00 San Jose del Cabo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 13:15 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 09:45 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:15 La Manzanilla Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Santa Marie Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:30 La Palmita Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 10:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 15:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 18:45 El Castillo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:45 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 09:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 19:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 16:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:30 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
31 Aug 2021 09:45 La Choya Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Colorada Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 Punta Arena Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:45 La Boca Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:45 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:15 La Ribera Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 02:30 San Rafael Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 10:45 Dimas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 06:45 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 San Diego United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Coronado United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Imperial Beach United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Boal United States  0.2
29 Aug 2021 08:30 Marmol Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Florida Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 09:45 El Guatamota Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 17:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 09:30 Ojo de Liebre Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 09:30 Aguaje Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 07:15 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.2
30 Aug 2021 01:30 La Playa Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 07:00 San Francisco Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 15:45 La Paz Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 11:45 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.2
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Rosarito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 08:15 Barron Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 08:30 La Ventana Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:45 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Santa Catarina Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Cunano Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Azure Vista United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Ocean Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Roseville United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Loma Portal United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:30 Ensenada de los Muertos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 13:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:00 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:30 Las Palmas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:15 La Fortuna Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:15 El Cardoncito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Rosario Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:15 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:15 Empalme Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 12:00 Cedros Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Rancho Boca de San Jose Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:45 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 20:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 09:45 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 El Descanso Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 13:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 20:00 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 05:00 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 13:15 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:45 Quinones Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:30 Encino Solo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 13:00 Bahia de Tortugas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:45 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:15 Punta Mita Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:30 La Florida Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:30 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 08:45 El Aquajito Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 22:45 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 22:45 El Marques Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:15 La Mision Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:45 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Mission Beach United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 18:00 Campland on the Bay Trailer Park United States  0.1
29 Aug 2021 17:45 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:15 Cruz de Juanacaxtle Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 09:30 Los Tesos Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:15 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 El Desemboque Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 21:30 Rancho Bahia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:00 Erendria Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:30 Chula Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 08:15 Los Frailes Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 03:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 09:15 Chola Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 23:45 Cabo Tepoca Mexico  0.1
31 Aug 2021 01:15 Puertecitos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 08:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 15:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:15 El Rosario Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:30 Mulege Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:30 Zihuatanejo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Puerto Libertad Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 10:00 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 16:15 Tripui Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Santiago Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 11:30 Manzanillo Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 02:00 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 06:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 19:15 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 Molino Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 00:00 El Barril Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 20:00 Liliba Mexico  0.1
30 Aug 2021 01:30 Molino Lacy Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:30 Aquiles Serdan Mexico  0.1
29 Aug 2021 07:30 Ipala Mexico  0.1