Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

29 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	155 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (29 Oct 02:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	155 km/h	0.3 m	590 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	43,006

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,263
100-250 mm	India, Somalia	18,205	+
	India	18,194
	Somalia	11
50-100 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives	2,957,428	+
	India	2,949,614
	Somalia	2,600
	Ethiopia	2,308
	Maldives	2,906

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	1016	20 thousand				-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Dwarka, India. This height is estimated for 29 Oct 2019 02:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 29 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Dwarka	India	0.3
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Madhi	India	0.3
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Wadgam	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Kambhat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 06:15	Kavi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Gadechi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Qalhat	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Bi'r Bira'	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Bilad as Sur	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Sur	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:15	Porbandar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:15	Adodar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	Bhogat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Lamba	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Miyani	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 08:30	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Jhankhar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Sika	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Okha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Aramda	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Mandvi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Bhadia	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:00	Masqat	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:00	Al Bustan	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:00	Yiti	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Navinal	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jambura	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Mundra	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Tuna	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	As Sifah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:00	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Ratia	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:45	Gorser	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Asarsa	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Harinagar	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Mahuva	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Damka	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Dahej	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Tankari	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Muler	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Al Kalban	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	'Urf	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Hiql	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Mina' al Fahl	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:45	Matrah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Beypore	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Chaliyam	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Tanur	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Ghogha	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Mursays	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Maghilah	Oman	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Surat	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Jalalpur	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 01:00	Mahuver	India	0.2
	29 Oct 2019 02:15	Had	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Jafarabad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Kathiwadar Bandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	Mangrol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	Chorwad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Hansot	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:00	Shil	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Payyoli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Quilandi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 07:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:45	Badagara	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:00	Ghalat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:15	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Bhagva	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Daghmar	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Dibab	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Bimmah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Fins	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Kotada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:00	Nawabandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Dharabandar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:30	Rohisa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:15	Veraval	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:15	Somnath	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Tabut	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Hayrut	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:45	Nishtun	Yemen	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Duqm	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:30	Nafun	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Manumah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Sib	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:00	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Dangarvadi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 00:15	Delvada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 03:30	Sutrapada	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Ramlah	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 04:00	Quryat	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 02:15	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Lodhwa	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:15	Ponnani	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:15	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:15	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:30	Sharkh	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:30	Kodinar	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 06:30	Kotra Nes	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:45	Vengurla	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 08:45	Terekhol	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Bordi	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Umbargam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 10:00	Maroli	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Azaiba	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 01:45	Tiwi	Oman	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Asumumbay	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Uran	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Trombay	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Diva	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 11:30	Taloje	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Edakkad	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 09:15	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Chopdem	India	0.1
	29 Oct 2019 12:00	Anjuna	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.