Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19
in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (27 Oct 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 194 km/h 0.4 m 194 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 205 km/h 0.5 m 970 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 194 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

970 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia532,976 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Oct 2019 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 25 Oct 2019 00:00 180 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Oct 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Oct 2019 12:00 176 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Oct 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 26 Oct 2019 00:00 116 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Oct 2019 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Oct 2019 18:00 155 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 27 Oct 2019 00:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Oct 2019 06:00 793 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 27 Oct 2019 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
27 Oct 2019 08:00 Wadgam India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:00 Kambhat India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:00 Kavi India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Dharabandar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Rohisa India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Jafarabad India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Damka India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Surat India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Jalalpur India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Mahuver India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Nalasopara India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Agashi India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Dongri India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Vasai India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Asumumbay India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Uran India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Trombay India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Diva India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Taloje India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Asarsa India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Harinagar India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Mahuva India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Ghogha India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Malad India  0.4
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Shirgaon India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Palghar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Mahim India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Boisar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Veraval India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Somnath India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Sutrapada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Lodhwa India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Dahej India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Tankari India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Muler India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Delvada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 10:30 Nawabandar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Mangrol India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Chorwad India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Kodinar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Tarapur India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Kotada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Shil India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 08:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Bhagva India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Malyan India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Hansot India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:30 Mumbai India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Gorser India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Ratia India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Gholvad India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Bordi India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 07:45 Umbargam India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 10:00 Maroli India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:30 Mandve India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 10:15 Daman India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 10:15 Udvada India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 08:15 Adodar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:30 Alibag India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 08:15 Porbandar India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Revadanda India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Lamba India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Miyani India  0.3
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Murud India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Bhogat India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Bankot India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:30 Kelshi India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 11:00 Madhi India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 10:00 Dwarka India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Guhagar India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 07:00 Boria India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Gadechi India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Okha India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Aramda India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:45 Jaigarh India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Mandvi India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Vengurla India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:30 Terekhol India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Suthri India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Bhadia India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Chopdem India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Anjuna India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Navinal India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Devgarh India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Pural India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Achra India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Purnagad India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Purangad India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Sika India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 06:15 Adiura India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:45 Marmagao India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:45 Panaji India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:45 Agacaim India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Malvan India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Mundra India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 08:45 Madgaon India  0.2
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Jambura India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 12:00 Tuna India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Advota India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Chaudi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Majali India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:00 Karwar India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 10:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 10:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 10:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:45 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Ankola India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Gokarn India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Kumta India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Bainduru India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 07:15 Chittadi India  0.1
27 Oct 2019 09:15 Belekeri India  0.1