Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Jul 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 144 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 112 km/h 2.5 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

112 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico656 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 122 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMexico586 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 256 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 428 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 324 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 426 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 07 Jul 2020 18:00 405 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 08 Jul 2020 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 08 Jul 2020 06:00 317 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 08 Jul 2020 12:00 261 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 08 Jul 2020 18:00 297 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 09 Jul 2020 00:00 220 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 09 Jul 2020 06:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 09 Jul 2020 12:00 306 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in La Choya, Mexico. This height is estimated for 09 Jul 2020 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Jul 2020 18:00 La Choya Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Puerto Penasco Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:15 San Juanico Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Buenaventura Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.3
09 Jul 2020 17:30 El Golfo de Santa Clara Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:00 Queretaro Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 17:15 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:45 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:45 Lagarto Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 17:30 El Tornillal Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 15:15 La Florida Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 15:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 13:15 Garrapateras Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 13:15 Majada Villalobos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 San Felipe Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 17:00 San Blas Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 17:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Maudlowe United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Tivoli United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Austwell United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Green Lake United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 North Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Long Mott United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Seadrift United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 16:30 Datilito Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 16:30 La Paz Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 16:30 Rosario Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 18:00 Spanish Village United States  0.2
09 Jul 2020 13:00 San Bruno Mexico  0.2
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:00 Novillero Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Rancho Conejo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 El Tomale Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Agua Fresca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Cunano Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:15 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:45 Tierra Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:15 Acapulco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Country Estates Colonia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Aransas Pass United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Estes United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Rockport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Shell Ridge United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Copano Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Fulton United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Lamar United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:30 Playa Oceano Pacifico Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:45 Loreto Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Cedros Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:00 Quinones Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 18:00 La Boca Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:45 Estero la Bocana Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Point Comfort United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Magnolia Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Indianola United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Olivia United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Weedhaven United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Port Alto United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Carancahua United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Camp Hulen United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 El Marques Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:30 San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:30 Monteon Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:30 La Lima Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:30 Rancho Datilari Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 Madero Amarillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Tripui Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:30 Mirador Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:30 Ayutla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Altata Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 El Castillo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:30 Boca del Rio Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Port Lavaca United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Alamo Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:00 Port O'Connor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:15 El Papayo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Puerto Magdalena Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:30 Marquelia Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:30 Copala Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Mims United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Hoskins United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Peterson Landing United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Port Morris United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Red Fish Cove United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Bay Harbor United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:15 Sea Isle United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:45 Los Inocentes Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:45 Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:45 La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:45 Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:30 Mauricio Gutierrez Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Fort Rosecrans United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Coronado United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Imperial Beach United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Boal United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 12:45 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:30 Pie Cerro Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:45 Palacios United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:45 Collegeport United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:45 Simpsonville United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:45 Citrus Grove United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Montecito United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Summerland United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Serena Park United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Franciscan Village United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Carpinteria United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Rincon United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Shepards United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Punta United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Faria United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:15 Dulah United States  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:15 Tangolunda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:15 Caimanero Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 El Sauzal Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Cabo Punta Banda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Ensenada Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 La Tuza Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 13:45 Veracruz Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 Puerto Escondido Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 Paso Hondo Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:00 Chagues Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:00 Mazatlan Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 17:00 Barron Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:30 Tenixtepec Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Puerto Angel Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Loma Larga Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Bajo de Arenal Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 14:45 Las Arenitas Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Rancho Cepeda Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Rancho San Francisco Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 15:15 Colonia Camalu Mexico  0.1
09 Jul 2020 16:00 Cachoana Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link