Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for CRISTINA-20
in Mexico,

Impact

Tropical Cyclone CRISTINA-20 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (07 Jul 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.3 m 177 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 0.4 m 436 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

115 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormMexico227 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico389 
50-100 mmMexico9045458 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jul 2020 18:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jul 2020 00:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jul 2020 06:00 134 -
- - - - - Mexico
Blue 4 07 Jul 2020 12:00 455 Few people
- - - - Mexico




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Puerto Venustiano Carranza, Mexico. This height is estimated for 07 Jul 2020 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jul 2020 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Jul 2020 13:45 Puerto Venustiano Carranza Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 13:15 Desembarcadero de Miller Mexico  0.3
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Agua del Coyote Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Las Tinajas Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 13:00 La Playa Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 San Juanico Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Boca del Melgoita Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Buenaventura Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Novillero Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Cuamecate Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 El Nuevo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 14:00 Cedros Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Santo Domingo Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Cuantla Mexico  0.2
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Puerto Cortes Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Puerto Charley Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:45 El Barril Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 San Juan de la Costa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Isla de Palmito del Verde Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Queretaro Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Datilito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 La Paz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Rosario Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 El Guatamota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 La Florida Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:15 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Arista Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Huajapan Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 El Roble Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Agua de las Flores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 14:00 Isla Natividad Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:30 Bahia Kino Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 San Rafael Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:00 Tastiota Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:15 Tecomate Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 San Cosme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Santa Marta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Cachimba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Toro Mocho Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Maudlowe United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Tivoli United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Spanish Village United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Austwell United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Green Lake United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 North Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Long Mott United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 12:00 Seadrift United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 13:30 La Playa Colorada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Corpus Christi United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 North Beach United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Gardendale United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Doyle United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Orange Grove United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Portland United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Gregory United States  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 Pesqueria Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 San Dionisio del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 San Francisco del Mar Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:45 La Majada Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Salina Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Lagarto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Costa Rica Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 16:00 Adolfo Lopez Mateos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Ligui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Tripui Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Las Bocas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Camahuiroa Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Loreto Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Atanacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 El Paredoncito Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Borabampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Perihuete Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Dimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 La Puerta Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 San Juanico Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 San Jose Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Guasimas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Guaymas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Empalme Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 18:00 Jarilla Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Topolobampo Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Cachoana Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Mulege Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Los Dolores Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:15 Santa Rosalia Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 San Bruno Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 San Ignacio Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 San Blas Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Santa Cruz Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 Liliba Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:45 San Carlos Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 15:15 Santa Maria Xandani Mexico  0.1
07 Jul 2020 17:30 Los Burros Mexico  0.1

Calculation folder at this link