Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (25 Sep 16:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.2 m	161 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 300 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran	300,898	+
	Afghanistan	49,648
	Iran	251,249

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India, Myanmar	2,047,468	+
	India	2,035,125
	Myanmar	12,342
100-250 mm	Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Thailand	38,453,595	+
	India	33,372,759
	Myanmar	4,460,634
	Bangladesh	640
	Thailand	619,559
50-100 mm	China, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Thailand	167,415,744	+
	China	12,496
	Nepal	4,461,259
	India	102,672,336
	Myanmar	14,437,424
	Bangladesh	44,252,148
	Thailand	1,580,079

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	386	40.5 million				-	-	-	China, Nepal, India, Myanmar, Bangladesh, Thailand

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 25 Sep 2021 16:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Kambhat	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Kavi	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Sarod	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Wadgam	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:45	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:45	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Dahej	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Asarsa	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Supati	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 15:15	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Harinagar	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Tankari	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Muler	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Bhagva	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Damka	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Olpad	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Khawwari	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Manifah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Ywathitke	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Sittwe	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Kangyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Aindin	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Pyaingdaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Kyaukpyinseik	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:30	New Kandla	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Ghogha	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Pahel	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Qasasil	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Kotada	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Ar Rakah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:30	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:45	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Akri	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:15	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:30	Al Khawr	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:15	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bideipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Dakhinpara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Kanyinchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Jaliapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Nyaunggyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Zawmadat	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Anauk Myinhlut	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:15	Kyaukpandu	Myanmar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Jodiya	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Dublat	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:15	Tuna	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 12:45	Napura	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 15:45	Dubla	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:45	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	'Arad	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Qalali	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:45	Ghizlan	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:45	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Band-e Kong	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 14:00	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 16:30	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:45	Bandar-e Lengeh	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:30	Dhalghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 17:00	Chandipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 13:15	Magnama	Bangladesh	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.