Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (26 Sep 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	76 km/h	0.5 m	156 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 340 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran	336,468	+
	Afghanistan	60,769
	Iran	275,698

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	1,184,001
100-250 mm	India, Bangladesh, Myanmar	82,022,965	+
	Myanmar	7,929,109
	India	73,621,423
	Bangladesh	472,431
50-100 mm	Nepal, Myanmar, India, Bangladesh, Thailand	120,094,500	+
	Nepal	689,337
	Myanmar	2,717,835
	India	101,755,866
	Bangladesh	14,912,432
	Thailand	19,028

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	139	3 thousand			-	-	-	-	Thailand, Myanmar
8	26 Sep 2021 00:00	253	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
9	26 Sep 2021 06:00	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	26 Sep 2021 12:00	471	83.2 million				-	-	-	Nepal, Myanmar, India, Bangladesh, Thailand

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Dasah, United Arab Emirates. This height is estimated for 26 Sep 2021 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 26 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.5
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.4
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Damathat	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Shwe-o	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Alanbya	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Mokkamu	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Boyagyi	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kyaikto	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kyaikpi	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kawbein	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Thamaseikta	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:15	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:15	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Mahameik	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Pauktaw	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Zokali	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Taungxun	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Taunggyi	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Budin	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kadaik	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Donwun	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Kangyisu	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Shangyaung	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:15	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:15	Qasasil	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Tanbingyaung	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 14:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Khindan	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Darein	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Hngetkyidaung	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Thegondan	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Thaunggon	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Kyauktan	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Mibya	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Kala-ywa	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Ase-ywa	Myanmar	0.3
	26 Sep 2021 13:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Umm Said	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Paung	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Jaww	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Munaing	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Tagukana	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Kawpamagon	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Srikurman	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Kalingapatnam	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Naupada	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Hukitala	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Satabhaya	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Kwanhla	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Gangra	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kakdwip	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Belpukur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kulpi	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bideipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Koyyam	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Dharmavaram	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Namkhana	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Baruva	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Kyaikkami	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Hpayagon	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Ale-ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Ammalapadu	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Mupon	Myanmar	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Pahel	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Laft	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 13:00	Nuralrevu	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Rasalpur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Chandipur	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Konada	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Ar Rams	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Ad Dawhah	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Kayindaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Wagaru	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Kambhat	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Kavi	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Sarod	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jatar Deul	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Wadgam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Ghalilah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dublat	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Filim	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Kyatchaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Yedwindaung Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Sidongyaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Chittivalasa	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Bhimunipatnam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Gopalpur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Thechaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Kanmaw	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Bemagyauk Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Mawgaungdon Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Medaw	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Tawbya	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Thedangyi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Bada	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Cheru	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Sonmiani	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Leiktaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:00	Awebindat	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Chatrapur	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Vishakhapatnam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Bukha	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Al Khasab	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Kumza	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Ash Shishah	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Ase	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Tawgyaik	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Chaunggyi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Kabyachaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Yengangyi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Tanzon	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:45	Sadeinchaungoya	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Canjam	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Qeshm	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Limah	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Taung-pi Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:30	Kalonga Ywa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:30	Paluru	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Malud	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Pudimadaka	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:45	Chipurupalle	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Digha	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:15	Ramnagar	India	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:00	Akechaungwa	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:15	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Haffah	Oman	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 14:45	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Bambu Khan	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:30	Goth Jumo	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Jhol	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:45	Gadanjo	Pakistan	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Bandar-e Suza	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:30	Khammasi	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 13:45	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Ale-hman	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Bokpyin	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 15:15	Atwin Bokpyin	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 17:00	Larak Kuhi	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 12:00	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Wegalaung	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:15	Karokpi	Myanmar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Salagh	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Tabl	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:45	Direstan	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Hisn Diba	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Adgat	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 16:30	Khawr Fakkan	United Arab Emirates	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.