Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 in Oman from 24 Sep 2021 06:00 UTC to 03 Oct 2021 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21

in Oman

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone GULAB-21/SHAHEEN-21 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Afghanistan, Iran
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	94 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (25 Sep 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	94 km/h	0.2 m	139 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	112 km/h	0.8 m	399 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

112 km/h

Up to 360 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Afghanistan, Iran	362,236	+
	Afghanistan	79,788
	Iran	282,448

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Afghanistan, Iran

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India	652,494
100-250 mm	India, Myanmar, Thailand	60,403,209	+
	India	56,631,187
	Myanmar	3,603,970
	Thailand	168,051
50-100 mm	Nepal, Bhutan, China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand	119,721,034	+
	Nepal	4,573,277
	Bhutan	185
	China	29,474
	India	86,748,358
	Bangladesh	14,644,433
	Myanmar	12,636,448
	Thailand	1,088,856

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Sep 2021 06:00	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Sep 2021 12:00	34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	24 Sep 2021 18:00	98	-		-	-	-	-	-	Myanmar
4	25 Sep 2021 00:00	231	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	25 Sep 2021 06:00	195	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	25 Sep 2021 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Thailand
7	25 Sep 2021 18:00	338	61.1 million				-	-	-	Nepal, Bhutan, China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar, Thailand

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Ghuar Mota, India. This height is estimated for 25 Sep 2021 22:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 25 Sep 2021 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 Sep 2021 22:45	Ghuar Mota	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Jubayl Industrial City	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Jubayl	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Dakshin Char Fasson	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Char Pyarimohan	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Char Annadaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Char Faizuddin	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Char Krishnaprasad	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:15	Char Manpura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Akri	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Bara Pata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Madhyam Lamchhidhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Hazipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Kanchanpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Rabipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Algi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Gazi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Ramiz	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Char Kukuri Mukuri	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Ar Kalmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Char Aicha	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Char Paila	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Golbania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Char Bagala	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Debpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Bhaylabania	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Chalitabunia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Char Hare	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Neta	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Chhota Baisdia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Andar Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Burirchar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Char Lakshmi	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Char Manika	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Hukitala	India	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Satabhaya	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Dasher Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Falcon	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Char Bedama	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Chandhuri Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Hatia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Khaser Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Nalchira	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Ewazbalia	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Mish ab	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	As Saffaniyah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Jahajmara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Maijchara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Char Ishwar Ray	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 21:45	Char Ishwar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Al Fanatir	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:00	Sagaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Bideipur	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kambhat	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Kavi	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Sarod	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Kuakata	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Mahipur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Char Chapli	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Bara Baliatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Kalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Budayyi	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ad Diraz	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Badi Jamrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Barbar	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Juffayr	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Muharraq	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Sitrah	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Busaytin	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Arad	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Qalali	Bahrain	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Hidd	Bahrain	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Sandwip	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Nayamasti	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Wadgam	India	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Munshir Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 22:15	Akbar Hat	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Ghoshbagh	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Char Fakura	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Maitbhanga	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Dhalapara	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 23:45	Abu Dhabi	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Bamnia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Tulatali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Char Chandia	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Banskhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Bariakhali	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Kamla Char	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Charparbati	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Bara Ahmadpur	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Char Kalidas	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Sayhat	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Tarut	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al 'Adamah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ad Dammam	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rakah	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Jafarnagar	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Barabkunda	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Bansbaria	Bangladesh	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Kumira	Bangladesh	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Manfadh al Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ras all Khafji	Saudi Arabia	0.2
	25 Sep 2021 20:45	Bu Lifiyat	United Arab Emirates	0.2
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al 'Arish	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Rasalpur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:45	Sitalpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:45	Bhatiari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Abu az Zuluf	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Madinat ash Shamal	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Ghariyah	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:30	Dakhin Kattali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Bandar-e Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Laft	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Payi Pusht	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Bandar-e Dargaham	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Pahel	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	'Ayn Sinan	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Chittagong	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Najmah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jazirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Tarif	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Dogerdan	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:45	Al Marfa	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	New Kandla	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:00	Char Lakshia	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Dukhan	Qatar	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Supati	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Patharghata	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chhota Nishanbaria Chak	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Dhalua	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bara Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chhota Bagi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Chandkhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Dubai	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Ash Shariqah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Ajman	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Jimeirah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Hijla	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Chandra Prasad	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Chandpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Kali	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Pangasia	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Harni	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Goal Bhaor	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Medua	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	South Dighaldi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Kalupura	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Munsi	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Hazari	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jagannathpur	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Lawrence	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Safwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Jabal al Qawm	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Al Qatif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ank	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Umm al Qaywayn	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Sakusia	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 21:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Baga	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Char Kadira	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Miar Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:30	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:00	Dakhin Patenga	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Basaidu	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Dustku	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Chahu Shomali	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Hormoz	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Janali Hat	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Kalapul	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Anowara	Bangladesh	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Arzeni	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:15	Bandar Suflin	Iran	0.1
	26 Sep 2021 00:00	Chandipur	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:30	Gahira	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:45	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:30	Khankhanabad	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Bandar Abbas	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Bandar-e Band-e	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 21:15	Dublat	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 21:15	Bijavbati	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 19:00	Purba Gomdandi	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Ghizlan	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Al Khawwari	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 23:00	Manifah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Jazirat Al Hamra	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Napura	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Dhurung	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:15	Lemsikhali	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:45	Ras Al Khaymah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Ali Akbardeil	Bangladesh	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Band-e Kong	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 22:30	Qeshm	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 18:00	Bandar-e Lengeh	Iran	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 21:15	Kumza	Oman	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Gokarn	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Kumta	India	0.1
	25 Sep 2021 20:15	Honavar	India	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.