Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KYARR-19 in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen, from 24 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC to 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for KYARR-19

in India, Yemen, Somalia, India, Yemen,

30 Oct 2019 00 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KYARR-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	India
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	122 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Oct 00:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	122 km/h	0.2 m	232 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	173 km/h	0.6 m	923 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	India	45,030

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	151	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	162	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	155	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	173	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	130	-		-	-	-	-	-	India

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

923 mm

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	India, Somalia, Ethiopia	49,039	+
	India	47,525
	Ethiopia	75
	Somalia	1,439
50-100 mm	Oman, India, Ethiopia, Somalia, Maldives	60,440	+
	Oman	3,772
	India	18,321
	Ethiopia	5,923
	Somalia	29,518
	Maldives	2,906

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	24 Oct 2019 00:00	229	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
2	24 Oct 2019 12:00	234	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
3	25 Oct 2019 00:00	307	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
4	25 Oct 2019 12:00	402	-		-	-	-	-	-	India
5	26 Oct 2019 00:00	305	-		-	-	-	-	-	India, Somalia, Ethiopia
6	26 Oct 2019 12:00	260	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	27 Oct 2019 00:00	256	-		-	-	-	-	-	Somalia, Ethiopia
8	27 Oct 2019 12:00	224	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	28 Oct 2019 00:00	410	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
10	28 Oct 2019 12:00	687	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	29 Oct 2019 00:00	590	Few people			-	-	-	-	Somalia
12	29 Oct 2019 12:00	665	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	30 Oct 2019 00:00	605	50 thousand			-	-	-	-	Oman, India, Ethiopia, Somalia, Maldives

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Dafiyat, Oman. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 00:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Dafiyat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Dhuwwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Shiinzi	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Dawwah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Ra's ar Ru'ays	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Al Kalban	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	'Urf	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 00:45	Hiql	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Al Ashkharah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 09:15	Suthri	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 01:00	Sharkh	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 01:30	Ghalat	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Payyoli	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Quilandi	India	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Al Jumaylah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 09:45	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 09:45	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 09:45	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	30 Oct 2019 10:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Badagara	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	Wareegsimo	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	Bereeda	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:45	Chittadi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:45	Kundapura	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:00	Bainduru	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:30	Bhatkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Gadechi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Okha	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Aramda	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:15	Dibab	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:15	Bimmah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:15	Fins	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Chaliyam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Tirurangadi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Tanur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Tanniyurnagaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:30	Mulki	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Sur Masirah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Mursays	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Maghilah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:45	Khalil	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:45	Tawi Bedi Guish	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:45	Khadra'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:45	As Suwayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:45	Al Mudayq	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	Dwarka	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:15	Beypore	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:00	Sika	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Talakkolattur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:45	Mahe	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Madhi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Kozhikode	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:00	Ghuar Mota	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Edakkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Dharmadam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Tellicherry	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:00	Jhankhar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Cannanore	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:30	Kotada	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Ponnani	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Veliyangod	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:00	Bhadia	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:00	Navinal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Advota	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Chaudi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Majali	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:45	Jambura	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:15	Mandvi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	Ceelaayo	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Had	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:45	Mundra	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:30	Qasabiyat az Za'ab	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Nileshwar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Chervattur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Trikkaripur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:45	Madayipara	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Marmagao	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Vasco Da Gama	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Agacaim	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Madgaon	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:45	Tuna	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Kasaragod	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Bekal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	'Ain Ba Ma'bad	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	'Ain al-Juwairi	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:30	Jilah	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	Boosaaso	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	Marero	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:30	Umbargam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:30	Maroli	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Lamba	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Panaji	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:00	Bordi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Al 'Aws	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Shaikh Ahmad	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Al Hanad	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:15	Daman	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 11:15	Udvada	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Kadikkad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Sib	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Mawalis	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Azaiba	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:45	Mina' al Fahl	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:00	Mavalli	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	Kumbla	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Qalhat	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Bi'r Bira'	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Bilad as Sur	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 01:15	Sur	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Jalalpur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 03:45	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:15	Bhogat	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 10:45	Gholvad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:45	Udipi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:45	Shirali	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:45	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 10:45	Eddi Gellei	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 10:45	Bola Cohuan	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	Khormaksar	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	Kraytar	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:15	'Adan	Yemen	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Madayi	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Mangaluru	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:45	Manjeshwaram	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Yiti	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	As Sifah	Oman	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:00	Manki	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Chopdem	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:30	Anjuna	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:30	Miyani	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:15	Boria	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 06:15	Jaigarh	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	Mirya	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:30	Ratnagiri	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 10:30	Tarapur	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Chirakkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Valapattanam	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:30	Azhikkal	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Dongri	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Malad	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 09:00	Vasai	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	'Ag	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 04:00	Cal Marthal	Somalia	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 07:15	Honavar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Kumta	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Damka	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Surat	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 12:00	Mahuver	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Porbandar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 08:00	Adodar	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Vengurla	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 05:15	Terekhol	India	0.1
	30 Oct 2019 02:30	Ascira	Somalia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
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